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2012-01-28

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats LSU Tigers Spread Result
Elo 66.8% 33.2% -
Bradley-Terry 67.3% 32.7% -
Margin 72.8% 27.2% -5.4 (18.6 off)
Pythagorean 62.4% 37.6% -
Efficiency 96.6% 3.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 95.2% 4.8% -
Log Adjusted 95.3% 4.7% -

Actual: LSU Tigers -24 (50-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Kidd-Gilchrist * 33 0-5 0-1 1-2 8 4 2 0 3 1 7 -
M. Teague * 31 2-6 2-4 0-0 2 4 0 2 1 6 7 -
T. Jones * 30 10-16 0-0 7-8 9 1 2 3 0 27 26 -
A. Davis * 28 6-6 0-0 4-10 10 1 2 3 0 16 26 -
D. Lamb * 26 3-9 2-4 1-2 3 1 1 0 0 9 5 -
D. Miller 29 5-9 3-5 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 13 7 -
K. Wiltjer 14 0-3 0-1 2-4 0 0 0 0 1 2 -2 -
E. Vargas 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
T. Beckham 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Turner * 33 2-6 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 4 2 -
A. Hickey Jr. * 32 2-6 1-3 0-1 4 5 1 0 0 5 9 -
J. O'Bryant III * 28 6-15 0-1 0-0 9 0 1 2 4 12 5 -
J. Hamilton * 19 3-7 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 1 1 7 4 -
E. Ludwig * 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
A. Stringer 28 2-7 0-3 4-4 0 4 0 0 0 8 5 -
S. Warren 21 5-9 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 1 1 11 5 -
J. Isaac 13 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
C. Bass 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 0 0 -
M. White 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Courtney 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter