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2012-01-28

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats LSU Tigers Spread Result
Elo 94.6% 5.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 88.1% 11.9% - โœ“
Margin 92.5% 7.5% -13.8 โœ“ (10.2 off)
Pythagorean 60.6% 39.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 95.1% 4.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 95.1% 4.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 77.2% 22.8% - โœ“

Actual: LSU Tigers -24 (50-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist * 33 0-5 0-1 1-2 8 4 2 0 3 1 7 -
Marquis Teague * 31 2-6 2-4 0-0 2 4 0 2 1 6 7 -
Terrence Jones * 30 10-16 0-0 7-8 9 1 2 3 0 27 26 -
Anthony Davis * 28 6-6 0-0 4-10 10 1 2 3 0 16 26 -
Doron Lamb * 26 3-9 2-4 1-2 3 1 1 0 0 9 5 -
Darius Miller 29 5-9 3-5 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 13 7 -
Kyle Wiltjer 14 0-3 0-1 2-4 0 0 0 0 1 2 -2 -
Eloy Vargas 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
Twany Beckham 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ralston Turner * 33 2-6 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 4 2 -
Anthony Hickey * 32 2-6 1-3 0-1 4 5 1 0 0 5 9 -
Johnny O'Bryant * 28 6-15 0-1 0-0 9 0 1 2 4 12 5 -
Justin Hamilton * 19 3-7 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 1 1 7 4 -
Eddie Ludwig * 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Andre Stringer 28 2-7 0-3 4-4 0 4 0 0 0 8 5 -
Storm Warren 21 5-9 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 1 1 11 5 -
John Isaac 13 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
Chris Bass 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 0 0 -
Malcolm White 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jalen Courtney 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter