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2012-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas Razorbacks LSU Tigers Spread Result
Elo 55.3% 44.7% -
Bradley-Terry 49.1% 50.9% -
Margin 43.3% 56.7% +1.5 (4.5 off)
Pythagorean 25.2% 74.8% -
Efficiency 88.9% 11.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 14.0% 86.0% -
Log Adjusted 13.9% 86.1% -

Actual: LSU Tigers +6 (71-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Nobles * 35 3-7 0-2 8-12 4 3 1 0 6 14 9 -
M. Wade * 35 3-8 3-6 6-6 2 2 3 0 1 15 13 -
R. Scott Jr. * 32 4-13 0-2 1-3 6 3 1 0 3 9 3 -
M. Sanchez * 22 3-6 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 0 2 6 6 -
H. Mickelson * 17 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 3 0 2 5 -
B. Young 24 1-5 0-1 1-2 3 0 0 1 4 3 -2 -
R. Madden 17 5-6 0-1 0-0 5 0 1 0 2 10 8 -
D. Abron 16 3-10 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 1 6 -2 -
M. Waithe 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Turner * 36 4-9 1-2 7-8 4 1 2 1 4 16 11 -
A. Stringer * 35 1-8 0-7 2-2 1 3 2 0 0 4 2 -
A. Hickey Jr. * 31 6-11 0-3 0-0 2 3 3 0 2 12 7 -
J. Hamilton * 29 5-8 0-0 3-5 11 0 0 4 1 13 19 -
J. O'Bryant III * 23 2-11 0-0 4-8 11 0 0 2 6 8 4 -
E. Ludwig 17 4-6 1-1 3-3 4 2 1 1 0 12 14 -
C. Bass 17 0-1 0-0 2-7 2 1 1 0 2 2 3 -
S. Warren 10 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 3 1 4 6 -
J. Courtney 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

* = starter