Model Predictions
| Model | LSU Tigers | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.3% | 70.7% | +5.1 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.1% | 72.9% | +5.4 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats +5 (87-82). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Stringer * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Anthony Hickey Jr. * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 19 | - |
| Ralston Turner * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Justin Hamilton * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Storm Warren * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Johnny O'Bryant III | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 29 | - |
| John Isaac | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Malcolm White | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Eddie Ludwig | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Shurna * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 37 | 47 | - |
| Dave Sobolewski * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 20 | - |
| Drew Crawford * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 30 | - |
| Luka Mirkovic * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Reggie Hearn * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| JerShon Cobb | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Davide Curletti | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Alex Marcotullio | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Nick Fruendt | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter