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2011-12-10

Model Predictions

Model Boise State Broncos LSU Tigers Spread Result
Elo 31.8% 68.2% -
Bradley-Terry 32.7% 67.3% -
Margin 28.3% 71.7% +5.1 (13.9 off)
Pythagorean 50.0% 50.0% -
Efficiency 73.6% 26.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 23.2% 76.8% -
Log Adjusted 23.3% 76.7% -

Actual: LSU Tigers +19 (64-45). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boise State Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Perryman 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 4 1 0 4 0 6 -
A. Drmic 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 4 0 3 0 7 -
J. Elorriaga 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 11 15 -
R. Watkins 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 8 12 -
T. Bropleh 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 8 8 -
D. Marks 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 0 3 12 17 -
I. Hadziomerovic 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 0 4 -
K. Buckner 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 3 8 -
D. Wiley 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 2 0 3 5 -
T. Nichols 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Crayton 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Hickey Jr. 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 5 3 0 2 11 21 -
E. Ludwig 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 1 1 2 12 -
J. Hamilton 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 1 3 14 19 -
J. O'Bryant III 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 2 10 15 -
R. Turner 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 5 7 -
S. Warren 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 1 0 10 17 -
C. Bass 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 5 0 0 0 2 9 -
J. Courtney 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 3 8 -
M. White 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 2 1 7 8 -

* = starter