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2012-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas Razorbacks LSU Tigers Spread Result
Elo 55.3% 44.7% -
Bradley-Terry 49.1% 50.9% -
Margin 43.3% 56.7% +1.5 (14.5 off)
Pythagorean 25.2% 74.8% -
Efficiency 88.9% 11.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 14.0% 86.0% -
Log Adjusted 13.9% 86.1% -

Actual: LSU Tigers +16 (70-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Wade * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 2 0 1 9 14 -
J. Nobles * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 1 1 9 11 -
B. Young * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 0 3 13 16 -
R. Scott Jr. * 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 0 3 -
D. Abron * 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 0 4 8 -
M. Sanchez 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 7 6 -
R. Madden 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 2 6 -
H. Mickelson 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 1 1 6 13 -
B. Mitchell 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
M. Waithe 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 0 2 6 -
K. Haydar 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Turner * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 4 0 1 3 10 20 -
A. Hickey Jr. * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 7 2 0 3 7 16 -
J. Hamilton * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 1 2 10 16 -
A. Stringer * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 2 0 0 11 20 -
S. Warren * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 3 3 14 21 -
J. O'Bryant III 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 0 0 0 2 18 27 -
C. Bass 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 -
J. Isaac 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter