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2012-01-14

Model Predictions

Model LSU Tigers Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 51.4% 48.6% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 45.6% 54.4% - โœ“
Margin 40.4% 59.6% +2.1 โœ“ (6.9 off)
Pythagorean 45.5% 54.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 51.5% 48.5% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 51.6% 48.4% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 45.4% 54.6% - โœ“

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +9 (69-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andre Stringer * 35 4-13 1-7 0-0 6 4 1 0 3 9 4 -
Justin Hamilton * 28 8-17 0-0 4-7 8 0 0 3 1 20 13 -
Anthony Hickey * 28 5-10 2-4 0-0 5 3 3 1 4 12 10 -
Storm Warren * 24 1-6 0-0 5-6 9 1 2 0 2 7 11 -
Ralston Turner * 22 1-8 0-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 -4 -
Chris Bass 19 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 4 0 -1 -
Jalen Courtney 17 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
Malcolm White 14 2-6 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 0 4 5 -
John Isaac 13 1-5 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -4 -

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mardracus Wade * 33 5-7 3-4 1-2 1 0 5 0 2 14 11 -
Julysses Nobles * 23 4-8 3-5 4-6 6 1 1 0 2 15 13 -
Devonta Abron * 22 2-5 0-0 1-2 13 0 1 0 2 5 12 -
Rickey Scott * 20 1-6 0-1 0-0 1 1 2 0 0 2 0 -
Michael Sanchez * 19 1-2 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 2 3 1 -
B.J. Young 22 6-11 2-4 5-8 2 4 1 1 3 19 13 -
Rashad Madden 22 1-4 0-1 3-6 5 3 2 0 2 5 9 -
Marvell Waithe 21 2-5 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 5 1 -
Hunter Mickelson 18 0-4 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 7 1 1 7 -

* = starter