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2012-01-14

Model Predictions

Model LSU Tigers Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 28.9% 71.1% -
Bradley-Terry 36.8% 63.2% -
Margin 29.9% 70.1% +4.7 (4.3 off)
Pythagorean 68.8% 31.2% -
Efficiency 5.1% 94.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 80.0% 20.0% -
Log Adjusted 80.1% 19.9% -

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +9 (69-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Stringer * 35 4-13 1-7 0-0 6 4 1 0 3 9 4 -
J. Hamilton * 28 8-17 0-0 4-7 8 0 0 3 1 20 13 -
A. Hickey Jr. * 28 5-10 2-4 0-0 5 3 3 1 4 12 10 -
S. Warren * 24 1-6 0-0 5-6 9 1 2 0 2 7 11 -
R. Turner * 22 1-8 0-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 -4 -
C. Bass 19 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 4 0 -1 -
J. Courtney 17 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
M. White 14 2-6 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 0 4 5 -
J. Isaac 13 1-5 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -4 -

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Wade * 33 5-7 3-4 1-2 1 0 5 0 2 14 11 -
J. Nobles * 23 4-8 3-5 4-6 6 1 1 0 2 15 13 -
D. Abron * 22 2-5 0-0 1-2 13 0 1 0 2 5 12 -
R. Scott Jr. * 20 1-6 0-1 0-0 1 1 2 0 0 2 0 -
M. Sanchez * 19 1-2 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 2 3 1 -
B. Young 22 6-11 2-4 5-8 2 4 1 1 3 19 13 -
R. Madden 22 1-4 0-1 3-6 5 3 2 0 2 5 9 -
M. Waithe 21 2-5 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 5 1 -
H. Mickelson 18 0-4 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 7 1 1 7 -

* = starter