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2012-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Mississippi State Bulldogs LSU Tigers Spread Result
Elo 52.8% 47.2% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 48.1% 51.9% - โœ“
Margin 44.8% 55.2% +1.1 โœ“ (0.9 off)
Pythagorean 52.3% 47.7% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 59.3% 40.7% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 59.3% 40.7% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 47.6% 52.4% - โœ“

Actual: LSU Tigers +2 (69-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dee Bost * 42 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 5 1 0 5 15 19 -
Rodney Hood * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 0 2 14 20 -
Arnett Moultrie * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 1 1 0 6 10 17 -
Brian Bryant * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 5 0 2 9 19 -
Renardo Sidney * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 3 13 14 -
Wendell Lewis 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 1 1 4 13 -
Jalen Steele 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Deville Smith 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 3 -
Player #46222 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ralston Turner * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 1 0 2 17 24 -
Andre Stringer * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 5 3 0 2 10 16 -
Anthony Hickey * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 2 0 2 8 12 -
Justin Hamilton * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 4 1 3 14 19 -
Johnny O'Bryant * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 1 2 4 9 -
Storm Warren 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 0 2 1 0 10 24 -
John Isaac 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 4 -
Malcolm White 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 4 6 -
Chris Bass 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 0 5 -

* = starter