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2012-01-11

Model Predictions

Model LSU Tigers Alabama Crimson Tide Spread Result
Elo 17.2% 82.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 29.2% 70.8% - โœ“
Margin 12.5% 87.5% +10.7 โœ“ (5.3 off)
Pythagorean 37.6% 62.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 10.6% 89.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 10.5% 89.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 28.5% 71.5% - โœ“

Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +16 (69-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andre Stringer * 36 5-11 3-6 0-0 4 1 0 0 4 13 3 -
Justin Hamilton * 36 3-12 0-0 6-6 6 0 1 2 1 12 8 -
Anthony Hickey * 27 4-8 0-1 0-0 5 1 1 0 3 8 4 -
Ralston Turner * 26 1-7 0-1 0-1 3 1 1 0 2 2 -2 -
Storm Warren * 19 3-9 0-0 2-4 4 1 0 0 1 8 3 -
John Isaac 18 1-1 1-1 1-2 0 1 0 0 1 4 3 -
Malcolm White 16 1-2 0-0 2-4 3 1 0 0 1 4 5 -
Chris Bass 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 0 3 -
Jalen Courtney 5 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Eddie Ludwig 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Levi Randolph * 35 4-7 1-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 9 4 -
Trevor Lacey * 32 2-6 0-3 2-2 10 1 1 0 2 6 10 -
Tony Mitchell * 31 5-14 1-4 0-1 10 4 2 3 2 11 14 -
Trevor Releford * 30 9-11 1-2 1-2 1 2 2 0 1 20 13 -
JaMychal Green * 27 4-9 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 2 4 9 2 -
Nick Jacobs 18 3-6 0-0 1-3 6 0 1 0 1 7 7 -
Andrew Steele 10 0-1 0-0 1-2 3 2 0 0 3 1 2 -
Ben Eblen 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Carl Engstrom 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
Rodney Cooper 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter