🐻⬇️🏀

Iowa State

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Iowa State Cyclones, Iowa State
Program History
Coach: T.J. Otzelberger

2026 Team Stats (37 games)

82.0
PPG
65.6
Opp
+16.4
Margin
48.8%
FG%
38.2%
3P%
67.5%
FT%
35.3
RPG
17.4
APG
10.2
TO
79.8
Pace
86.5
AdjO
61.0
AdjD
#5
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1282 (#21) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1306 (#18) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 1099 (#53) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → +25.6 (#5) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +37.2 (#7) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.928 (#4) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +45.9 More → 0.992 (#8) NetEff +45.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +33.7 More → 0.980 (#7) AdjNet +33.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +34.0 More → 0.981 (#7) AdjNet +34.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 86.5 | AdjD 61.0 More → 0.911 (#5) AdjO 86.5 | AdjD 61.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 79.7 | AdjD 62.2 More → 0.831 (#7) AdjO 79.7 | AdjD 62.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.965 (#10) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.952 (#10) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 95 | GP 37 More → 1343 (#16) RD 95 | GP 37

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs Fairleigh Dickinson Knights W 88 - 50
2025-11-06 vs Grambling Tigers W 102 - 62
2025-11-10 vs Mississippi State Bulldogs W 96 - 80
2025-11-17 vs Stonehill Skyhawks W 96 - 57
2025-11-24 @ St. John's Red Storm W 83 - 82
2025-11-25 vs Creighton Bluejays W 78 - 60
2025-11-26 vs Syracuse Orange W 95 - 64
2025-12-03 vs Alcorn State Braves W 132 - 68
2025-12-06 @ Purdue Boilermakers W 81 - 58
2025-12-11 vs Iowa Hawkeyes W 66 - 62
2025-12-14 vs Eastern Illinois Panthers W 78 - 53
2025-12-21 vs Long Beach State Beach W 91 - 60
2025-12-29 vs Houston Christian Huskies W 89 - 61
2026-01-02 vs West Virginia Mountaineers W 80 - 59
2026-01-07 @ Baylor Bears W 70 - 60
2026-01-10 vs Oklahoma State Cowboys W 83 - 71
2026-01-13 @ Kansas Jayhawks L 63 - 84
2026-01-17 @ Cincinnati Bearcats L 70 - 79
2026-01-20 vs UCF Knights W 87 - 57
2026-01-24 @ Oklahoma State Cowboys W 84 - 71
2026-01-29 vs Colorado Buffaloes W 97 - 67
2026-02-01 @ Kansas State Wildcats W 95 - 61
2026-02-07 vs Baylor Bears W 72 - 69
2026-02-10 @ TCU Horned Frogs L 55 - 62
2026-02-14 vs Kansas Jayhawks W 74 - 56
2026-02-16 vs Houston Cougars W 70 - 67
2026-02-21 @ BYU Cougars L 69 - 79
2026-02-24 @ Utah Utes W 75 - 59
2026-02-28 vs Texas Tech Red Raiders L 73 - 82
2026-03-02 @ Arizona Wildcats L 57 - 73
2026-03-07 vs Arizona State Sun Devils W 86 - 65
2026-03-11 vs Arizona State Sun Devils W 91 - 42
2026-03-12 @ Texas Tech Red Raiders W 75 - 53
2026-03-13 @ Arizona Wildcats L 80 - 82
2026-03-20 vs Tennessee State Tigers W 108 - 74
2026-03-22 vs Kentucky Wildcats W 82 - 63
2026-03-27 vs Tennessee Volunteers L 62 - 76

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
M. Momcilovic M. Momcilovic F 37 30.4 16.9 3.1 1.0 0.8 0.2 0.8 11.1 10.1 192 8.3 17.5 50.6 48.4 87.8 1.93 69.8 67.2
J. Jefferson J. Jefferson F 35 30.9 16.4 7.4 4.8 1.6 0.8 2.5 11.7 16.8 363 15.8 25.8 47.2 34.5 70.0 2.49 57.0 51.8
T. Lipsey T. Lipsey G 34 31.5 13.5 3.9 5.1 2.3 0.0 1.5 10.8 12.5 237 11.8 21.4 45.9 31.6 65.6 0.84 54.6 51.6
Killyan Toure Killyan Toure - 37 25.4 8.6 3.5 2.3 1.5 0.2 1.7 7.1 7.2 69 6.3 54.7 46.0 31.3 72.2 0.18 54.3 51.0
Blake Buchanan Blake Buchanan - 37 24.5 8.5 5.7 1.7 0.8 0.9 1.1 5.9 10.6 245 10.2 21.2 63.6 0.0 49.4 1.51 62.6 63.6
Jamarion Batemon Jamarion Batemon - 37 15.6 6.6 1.2 0.4 0.6 0.1 0.5 5.8 2.6 115 5.2 17.6 38.8 37.0 78.8 0.58 53.8 51.4
N. Heise N. Heise G 37 24.9 5.7 4.0 1.6 0.8 0.1 0.6 4.6 7.1 205 9.3 17.0 45.3 31.9 66.7 0.89 56.0 53.8
Dominykas Pleta Dominykas Pleta - 35 11.2 4.4 2.2 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.8 2.4 4.5 53 2.6 11.7 70.6 0 59.6 0.04 69.9 70.6
Dominick Nelson Dominick Nelson G 24 8.3 3.7 0.9 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.7 2.6 2.1 12 2.0 38.6 44.4 0.0 60.4 0.11 51.0 44.4
Xzavion Mitchell Xzavion Mitchell - 7 3.3 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 1.1 0.1 -9 -1.5 -22.6 25.0 33.3 50.0 -0.09 39.4 37.5
E. Mulder E. Mulder - 20 3.7 0.9 1.6 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.9 3 1.0 24.2 50.0 100.0 44.4 -0.17 52.9 53.6
C. Kelderman C. Kelderman G 18 3.8 0.9 0.2 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.6 10 0.8 8.0 40.0 40.0 50.0 0.16 59.2 60.0
Anthony Rise Anthony Rise - 11 1.4 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 -7 -0.9 -28.4 25.0 0 0 -0.19 25.0 25.0
M. Williams M. Williams G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - 68 3.1 5.7 - - - 0.31 - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG