Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Iowa State Cyclones | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.4% | 87.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.0% | 98.0% | +21.4 | ✓ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 11.7% | 88.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Iowa State Cyclones +16 (96-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hubbard * | 36 | 8-17 | 4-10 | 5-5 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 25 | 10 | -16.1 |
| J. McGhee * | 25 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -3.2 |
| S. Jones Jr. * | 20 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 5 | -3.4 |
| A. Achor * | 19 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | +9.1 |
| Q. Ballard * | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -1.2 |
| J. Davis-Fleming | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -24.4 |
| S. Macura | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | -17.5 |
| K. Grace | 17 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | -13.0 |
| D. Warren | 16 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -2 | -12.0 |
| B. Walker | 9 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +6.5 |
| A. Ali | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +6.5 |
Iowa State Cyclones
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Lipsey * | 36 | 9-17 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 17 | +11.0 |
| B. Buchanan * | 31 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 20 | +17.2 |
| J. Jefferson * | 25 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 17 | +0.2 |
| K. Toure * | 23 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -0.5 |
| M. Momcilovic * | 16 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +1.9 |
| N. Heise | 27 | 4-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | +10.7 |
| D. Nelson | 19 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | +19.0 |
| J. Batemon | 14 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +16.2 |
| D. Pleta | 7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1.0 |
| E. Mulder | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter