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2025-12-11

Model Predictions

Model Iowa Hawkeyes Iowa State Cyclones Spread Result
Elo 29.2% 70.8% -
Bradley-Terry 37.4% 62.6% -
Margin 15.2% 84.8% +9.4 (5.4 off)
Pythagorean 43.2% 56.8% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 17.4% 82.6% -
Log Adjusted 17.5% 82.5% -
Points Off/Def 28.1% 71.9% -

Actual: Iowa State Cyclones +4 (66-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Stirtz * 40 3-11 3-8 1-2 5 4 1 0 3 10 6 -5.9
K. Combs * 25 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 3 4 3 -7.4
C. Koch * 25 2-4 1-3 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 5 2 -18.6
C. Manyawu * 21 5-10 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 1 3 10 6 -6.8
T. Banks * 20 5-9 2-2 2-2 4 1 0 0 1 14 9 -11.7
T. Sage 26 4-6 0-0 0-1 4 0 0 0 2 8 4 +6.6
I. Howard 20 3-5 1-1 0-0 2 3 3 1 1 7 10 +5.5
A. Folgueiras 19 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 1 2 4 7 -0.9
B. Hausen 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +2.5

Iowa State Cyclones

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Jefferson * 35 7-14 3-6 7-9 5 1 2 2 3 24 17 +10.7
T. Lipsey * 33 6-15 0-2 2-2 1 4 4 0 0 14 8 +15.6
B. Buchanan * 32 2-3 0-0 2-2 6 2 3 4 0 6 18 +10.0
M. Momcilovic * 31 4-7 2-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 10 6 +2.4
K. Toure * 30 2-6 0-1 3-6 5 2 2 0 1 7 9 +16.6
N. Heise 24 1-5 0-3 1-2 2 1 0 0 1 3 0 -3.5
J. Batemon 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 +0.6
E. Mulder 6 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 +3.1
D. Nelson 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -7.7

* = starter