Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa State Cyclones | Kansas State Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.6% | 15.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.8% | 19.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 94.8% | 5.2% | -16.0 | ✓ (18.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.8% | 3.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.2% | 5.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.2% | 5.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 79.6% | 20.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kansas State Wildcats -34 (61-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Iowa State Cyclones
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Jefferson | 34 | 7-13 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 16 | +23.3 |
| T. Lipsey | 33 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 24 | +21.4 |
| M. Momcilovic | 30 | 6-13 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 9 | +21.6 |
| B. Buchanan | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | +3.2 |
| N. Heise | 23 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 14 | +1.7 |
| K. Toure | 23 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 14 | +15.7 |
| J. Batemon | 13 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | +6.5 |
| D. Pleta | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | +20.7 |
| E. Mulder | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -3.1 |
| D. Nelson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.1 |
| C. Kelderman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.1 |
Kansas State Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Haggerty | 34 | 11-21 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 12 | -19.8 |
| N. Johnson | 32 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | -16.0 |
| T. Manning | 31 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -24.8 |
| D. Castillo | 30 | 4-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | -20.0 |
| A. Kostic | 26 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | -12.3 |
| D. Buca | 23 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 4 | +1.2 |
| CJ Jones | 16 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -0.1 |
| M. Johnson | 8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -5.5 |
* = starter