Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa State Cyclones | Kansas State Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.8% | 16.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 83.6% | 16.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 94.8% | 5.2% | -16.0 | ✓ (18.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 95.3% | 4.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.2% | 5.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.2% | 5.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 79.4% | 20.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kansas State Wildcats -34 (61-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Iowa State Cyclones
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Jefferson | 34 | 7-13 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 16 | +27.7 |
| Tamin Lipsey | 33 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 24 | +22.2 |
| Milan Momcilovic | 30 | 6-13 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 9 | +28.1 |
| Blake Buchanan | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | +3.2 |
| Nate Heise | 23 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 14 | -1.7 |
| Killyan Toure | 23 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 14 | +21.2 |
| Jamarion Batemon | 13 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | +3.5 |
| Dominykas Pleta | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | +19.4 |
| Eric Mulder | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -4.3 |
| Dominick Nelson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.5 |
| Cade Kelderman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.7 |
Kansas State Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Haggerty | 34 | 11-21 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 12 | -20.3 |
| Nate Johnson | 32 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | -12.9 |
| Taj Manning | 31 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -24.6 |
| David Castillo | 30 | 4-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | -9.9 |
| Andrej Kostic | 26 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | -4.7 |
| Dorin Buca | 23 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 4 | -3.7 |
| CJ Jones | 16 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -10.2 |
| Marcus Johnson | 8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -3.5 |
* = starter