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2025-12-06

Model Predictions

Model Iowa State Cyclones Purdue Boilermakers Spread Result
Elo 27.9% 72.1% -
Bradley-Terry 41.5% 58.5% -
Margin 47.1% 52.9% +0.6 (23.6 off)
Pythagorean 49.4% 50.6% -
Efficiency 96.9% 3.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 55.5% 44.5% -
Log Adjusted 55.3% 44.7% -
Points Off/Def 47.0% 53.0% -

Actual: Purdue Boilermakers -23 (58-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Iowa State Cyclones

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Momcilovic 36 8-17 3-7 1-1 1 1 2 0 0 20 7 +26.6
T. Lipsey 32 4-7 1-3 0-0 5 8 0 0 0 9 15 +25.2
B. Buchanan 30 6-9 0-0 0-1 9 2 0 2 1 12 15 +22.9
N. Heise 29 3-7 1-4 0-0 4 3 1 1 2 7 7 +11.2
K. Toure 28 5-9 3-5 0-0 5 1 2 0 1 13 11 +18.9
J. Jefferson 22 4-8 3-4 0-0 2 4 1 2 6 11 6 +12.1
D. Pleta 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 3 +3.6
D. Nelson 9 2-3 0-0 3-4 1 0 0 0 2 7 3 +7.9
J. Batemon 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.1

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Smith 36 5-9 1-2 0-1 5 8 4 1 6 11 14 -
T. Kaufman-Renn 28 1-8 0-0 2-5 9 4 1 0 2 4 8 -23.1
F. Loyer 25 2-8 1-5 0-1 0 3 0 0 3 5 -3 -15.7
O. Cluff 23 5-6 0-0 0-1 6 0 0 0 1 10 9 -20.6
C.J. Cox 23 3-6 1-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 7 5 -13.4
G. Harris 18 1-5 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -8.2
D. Jacobsen 15 4-6 0-0 2-4 3 0 0 1 0 10 8 -3.3
J. Benter 14 1-2 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 2 5 -1.1
O. Mayer 13 1-7 0-3 2-2 0 0 1 0 2 4 -4 -10.5
L. Murphy 5 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -1.1

* = starter