Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa State Cyclones | Arizona Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.4% | 71.6% | +5.1 | ✓ (10.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arizona Wildcats +16 (73-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Iowa State Cyclones
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milan Momcilovic | 33 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | -14.4 |
| Tamin Lipsey | 32 | 6-15 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 7 | -8.7 |
| Joshua Jefferson | 28 | 2-17 | 0-5 | 8-8 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 4 | -13.1 |
| Jamarion Batemon | 27 | 5-14 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | +2.1 |
| Nate Heise | 24 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +8.6 |
| Blake Buchanan | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | -5.0 |
| Killyan Toure | 18 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -21.3 |
| Dominykas Pleta | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -4.8 |
| Eric Mulder | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.4 |
| Dominick Nelson | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| Cade Kelderman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.6 |
Arizona Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Bradley | 36 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 9-10 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 13 | +17.4 |
| Koa Peat | 29 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -1.6 |
| Tobe Awaka | 25 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 27 | +15.4 |
| Brayden Burries | 24 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | +5.1 |
| Motiejus Krivas | 24 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 12 | +27.3 |
| Anthony Dell'Orso | 21 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +18.9 |
| Ivan Kharchenkov | 20 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -2 | -6.7 |
| Dwayne Aristode | 16 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | +19.0 |
| Sven Djopmo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.8 |
| Sidi Gueye | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.8 |
| Jackson Francois | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -0.8 |
| Addison Arnold | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -0.8 |
| Evan Nelson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.7 |
* = starter