Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa State Cyclones | St. John's Red Storm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 57.9% | 42.1% | -1.8 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 96.7% | 3.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: St. John's Red Storm -1 (82-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Iowa State Cyclones
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Jefferson * | 36 | 5-14 | 1-2 | 6-8 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 12 | +1.7 |
| T. Lipsey * | 34 | 5-17 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 5 | +4.0 |
| M. Momcilovic * | 33 | 8-13 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 11 | +12.7 |
| B. Buchanan * | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | +9.2 |
| K. Toure * | 21 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | +5.6 |
| N. Heise | 25 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +6.8 |
| D. Pleta | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +1.0 |
| J. Batemon | 9 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -13.9 |
| D. Nelson | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -0.5 |
| E. Mulder | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -4.7 |
St. John's Red Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Hopkins * | 33 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 10-10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 15 | +8.4 |
| Z. Ejiofor * | 30 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 21 | -1.5 |
| O. Sellers * | 28 | 6-11 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 13 | -9.1 |
| J. Sanon * | 26 | 2-10 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -1 | -14.2 |
| D. Darling * | 24 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +5.4 |
| D. Mitchell | 31 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 15 | +5.8 |
| I. Jackson | 16 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -2 | -5.7 |
| R. Prey | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1.4 |
| L. Liotopoulos | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.0 |
* = starter