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2026-01-07

Model Predictions

Model Iowa State Cyclones Baylor Bears Spread Result
Elo 79.0% 21.0% -
Bradley-Terry 65.8% 34.2% -
Margin 84.1% 15.9% -9.2 (0.8 off)
Pythagorean 56.7% 43.3% -
Efficiency 97.0% 3.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 88.4% 11.6% -
Log Adjusted 88.4% 11.6% -
Points Off/Def 68.4% 31.6% -

Actual: Baylor Bears -10 (60-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Iowa State Cyclones

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Jefferson 38 7-17 1-3 4-8 17 3 3 1 6 19 20 +12.9
K. Toure 34 5-14 1-4 1-2 5 3 2 2 3 12 7 +20.7
N. Heise 32 2-7 2-4 0-0 6 1 2 0 0 6 8 +1.6
T. Lipsey 26 8-12 2-3 6-7 3 2 1 0 0 24 18 +9.8
M. Momcilovic 24 2-6 0-3 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 4 2 +8.9
B. Buchanan 23 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 0 1 -1.1
J. Batemon 10 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -0.7
D. Pleta 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 4 +4.2
D. Nelson 5 1-1 0-0 1-3 1 0 0 0 1 3 2 +4.1

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
O. Agbim 36 2-14 1-10 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 5 -6 -11.8
C. Carr 33 5-13 2-6 5-7 5 2 2 2 3 17 12 -1.2
T. Yessoufou 32 4-13 1-5 1-3 8 1 1 1 1 10 7 -13.9
M. Rataj 23 1-7 1-4 5-6 3 1 0 1 0 8 6 -2.5
I. Williams IV 21 1-6 0-2 2-5 3 1 0 2 2 4 2 -7.0
D. Skillings Jr. 20 1-3 0-0 1-2 6 1 2 0 3 3 6 -6.5
C. Powell 19 4-5 0-0 3-5 11 0 0 0 2 11 15 -1.0
J. Nnaji 16 1-1 0-0 0-1 5 0 0 1 1 2 6 -

* = starter