Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa State Cyclones | Cincinnati Bearcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.2% | 25.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 85.4% | 14.6% | -9.7 | ✗ (18.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 97.0% | 3.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.0% | 12.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.1% | 11.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 68.7% | 31.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cincinnati Bearcats +9 (79-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Iowa State Cyclones
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Jefferson | 35 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 8-10 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 15 | -7.5 |
| M. Momcilovic | 34 | 9-18 | 8-14 | 8-10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 17 | -8.1 |
| T. Lipsey | 33 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-3 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3.4 |
| B. Buchanan | 26 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -6.1 |
| N. Heise | 25 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -12.1 |
| K. Toure | 23 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | +6.2 |
| D. Nelson | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4.3 |
| D. Pleta | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3.5 |
| J. Batemon | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.7 |
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Miller | 34 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 18 | +3.4 |
| J. James | 30 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | +4.4 |
| D. Thomas | 26 | 8-18 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 5 | +20.0 |
| J. Celestine | 26 | 4-10 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | +10.4 |
| M. Thiam | 22 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -8.1 |
| S. Harris | 20 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 13 | -4.3 |
| K. Tillery | 19 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -0.2 |
| T. McKinley | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +16.6 |
| S. Abaev | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.9 |
* = starter