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2026-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Iowa State Cyclones Arizona Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 23.4% 76.6% -
Bradley-Terry 14.7% 85.3% -
Margin 27.6% 72.4% +5.3 (3.3 off)
Pythagorean 47.1% 52.9% -
Efficiency 67.6% 32.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 32.3% 67.7% -
Log Adjusted 32.1% 67.9% -
Points Off/Def 36.7% 63.3% -

Actual: Arizona Wildcats +2 (82-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Iowa State Cyclones

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Momcilovic 36 10-18 8-14 0-0 5 0 0 1 1 28 15 -
J. Jefferson 33 9-17 3-7 0-2 4 2 3 1 3 21 11 -
T. Lipsey 31 2-11 1-5 3-5 4 7 3 0 3 8 8 -
K. Toure 27 5-9 2-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 12 6 -
B. Buchanan 25 4-7 0-0 0-0 4 3 1 0 1 8 8 -
N. Heise 23 1-2 0-1 1-1 3 1 0 0 0 3 5 -
D. Pleta 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 0 2 -
J. Batemon 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Kharchenkov 32 6-9 2-3 3-4 3 5 3 1 2 17 18 -
J. Bradley 31 6-11 0-0 3-4 2 7 2 1 0 15 16 -
A. Dell'Orso 29 10-14 6-9 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 26 17 -
M. Krivas 27 3-4 0-1 1-1 4 0 1 2 2 7 8 -
T. Awaka 27 5-9 0-0 0-1 10 1 0 0 0 10 12 -
K. Peat 26 2-4 0-0 0-2 6 5 1 0 4 4 8 -
B. Burries 20 0-7 0-3 3-4 1 0 1 0 3 3 -5 -
D. Aristode 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter