🐻⬇️🏀

Indiana State

Also known as: Indiana State Sycamores, Indiana State
Program History

2013 Team Stats (6 games)

69.3
PPG
65.6
Opp
-0.2
Margin
43.6%
FG%
33.7%
3P%
69.1%
FT%
34.3
RPG
11.5
APG
11.3
TO
75.8
Pace

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1339 (#141) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1307 (#133) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +147 elo More → 999 (#190) HCA +147 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → +26.6 (#123) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +12.0 (#117) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.332 (#87) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -1.8 More → 0.451 (#109) NetEff -1.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -1.9 More → 0.447 (#68) AdjNet -1.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -1.7 More → 0.450 (#68) AdjNet -1.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 62.7 | AdjD 60.6 More → 0.547 (#158) AdjO 62.7 | AdjD 60.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.750 (#120) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.713 (#126) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 119 | GP 33 More → 1107 (#119) RD 119 | GP 33

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-09 @ UCLA Bruins L 59 - 86
2012-11-13 vs Winthrop Eagles W 66 - 55
2012-11-17 vs Truman State Bulldogs W 70 - 57
2012-11-20 @ Ball State Cardinals W 68 - 48
2012-11-25 vs High Point Panthers W 76 - 62
2012-12-01 vs New Mexico Lobos L 68 - 77
2012-12-08 @ Morehead State Eagles L 63 - 71
2012-12-15 @ IUPUI Jaguars W 75 - 61
2012-12-22 vs Ole Miss Rebels W 87 - 85
2012-12-23 @ San Diego State Aztecs L 55 - 62
2012-12-25 @ Miami Hurricanes W 57 - 55
2012-12-30 vs Illinois State Redbirds W 77 - 75
2013-01-02 @ Northern Iowa Panthers W 65 - 61
2013-01-05 @ Creighton Bluejays L 66 - 79
2013-01-09 vs Bradley Braves W 68 - 53
2013-01-12 @ Southern Illinois Salukis L 71 - 76
2013-01-16 vs Missouri State Bears W 68 - 60
2013-01-19 vs Evansville Purple Aces W 72 - 62
2013-01-23 @ Illinois State Redbirds L 58 - 60
2013-01-26 vs Northern Iowa Panthers W 59 - 58
2013-01-29 @ Wichita State Shockers W 68 - 55
2013-02-02 @ Drake Bulldogs L 71 - 74
2013-02-06 vs Creighton Bluejays W 76 - 57
2013-02-09 vs Southern Illinois Salukis W 66 - 65
2013-02-12 @ Missouri State Bears L 65 - 67
2013-02-16 @ Bradley Braves L 68 - 80
2013-02-19 vs Wichita State Shockers L 62 - 66
2013-02-23 vs Iona Gaels W 65 - 64
2013-02-27 vs Drake Bulldogs L 56 - 67
2013-03-02 @ Evansville Purple Aces L 68 - 84
2013-03-08 @ Evansville Purple Aces W 51 - 50
2013-03-09 @ Creighton Bluejays L 43 - 64
2013-03-20 @ Iowa Hawkeyes L 52 - 68

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
J. Odum J. Odum G 33 32.4 13.6 4.5 4.6 1.5 0.3 2.7 2.6 19.0 -21 -0.6 -0.9 46.5 33.3 88.1 0.45 194.0 50.0
M. Arop M. Arop F 31 29.1 12.0 5.1 0.8 0.7 0.2 2.3 3.0 13.6 12 0.4 0.6 46.8 25.7 70.0 1.35 174.0 51.6
R. Mahurin R. Mahurin G 33 24.2 10.1 4.2 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.0 2.3 12.8 50 1.5 2.6 41.6 25.0 61.9 0.75 174.4 46.1
J. Gant J. Gant F 33 24.9 7.5 4.4 0.8 0.4 0.7 1.3 2.4 10.0 12 0.4 0.6 46.2 40.0 60.9 0.73 137.6 50.0
D. Cummings D. Cummings G 33 22.2 6.4 3.2 1.8 0.9 0.2 1.4 1.7 9.3 -66 -2.0 -3.5 34.5 27.6 100.0 -0.72 182.2 41.8
K. Smith K. Smith F 33 21.3 5.1 2.9 0.9 0.5 0.4 1.0 1.5 7.3 172 5.5 10.1 35.3 44.4 66.7 0.91 148.4 39.2
L. Eitel L. Eitel G 33 17.8 4.1 1.6 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.6 1.1 5.5 140 4.2 8.1 48.6 51.6 0.0 1.96 184.5 71.4
D. Brown D. Brown G 33 17.6 3.8 1.9 1.1 0.5 0.1 1.7 0.9 4.9 58 1.3 2.6 48.3 20.0 52.9 0.71 144.4 50.0
J. Kitchell J. Kitchell F 33 11.9 2.7 2.3 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.6 4.6 -38 -1.2 -3.8 40.0 0.0 63.6 0.12 179.1 40.0
B. Burnett B. Burnett G 18 5.1 1.7 1.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 2.5 -33 -1.8 -11.8 33.3 0.0 0 -0.46 500.0 33.3
R. Smith R. Smith F 9 2.1 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 40 3.1 20.8 0 0 0 2.05 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG