Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana State Sycamores | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.3% | 92.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.3% | 88.7% | +11.3 | ✓ (4.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 9.7% | 90.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.5% | 91.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.7% | 91.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +7 (62-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Odum * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 12 | - |
| J. Gant * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 15 | - |
| M. Arop * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 17 | - |
| R. Mahurin * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 18 | - |
| D. Cummings * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| K. Smith | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| D. Brown | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Kitchell | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Eitel | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Burnett | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Franklin * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 35 | - |
| C. Tapley * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 17 | - |
| X. Thames * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 15 | - |
| J.J. O'Brien * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| D. Stephens * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| S. Spencer | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| J. Rahon | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| W. Shepard | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Johnson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Polee II | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter