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2012-11-09

Model Predictions

Model Indiana State Sycamores UCLA Bruins Spread Result
Elo 15.5% 84.5% -
Bradley-Terry 13.4% 86.6% -
Margin 7.9% 92.1% +13.5 (13.5 off)
Pythagorean 28.8% 71.2% -
Efficiency 25.2% 74.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 11.5% 88.5% -
Log Adjusted 11.8% 88.2% -

Actual: UCLA Bruins +27 (86-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana State Sycamores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Odum * 31 1-5 0-1 4-4 2 5 4 0 3 6 9 -
M. Arop * 27 4-13 0-6 2-2 6 1 1 0 4 10 1 -
D. Cummings * 27 1-8 0-6 0-0 2 3 1 0 1 2 -1 -
J. Gant * 25 4-11 1-3 2-6 8 0 0 0 1 11 7 -
J. Kitchell * 16 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
K. Smith 27 4-8 2-3 1-2 3 0 1 0 0 11 7 -
R. Mahurin 19 2-10 0-4 5-8 3 0 3 1 2 9 4 -
L. Eitel 13 2-2 2-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 5 -
D. Brown 10 0-1 0-0 2-4 2 1 0 0 2 2 2 -
R. Smith 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Burnett 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Drew II * 33 0-1 0-1 1-2 2 5 0 1 0 1 8 -
T. Wear * 31 6-11 0-0 5-7 7 1 1 1 5 17 11 -
K. Anderson * 26 2-5 0-1 6-10 10 4 0 1 3 10 17 -
D. Wear * 25 5-13 0-1 3-5 10 1 0 0 3 13 8 -
N. Powell * 24 3-8 1-6 2-3 3 2 1 2 1 9 8 -
J. Adams 22 7-12 2-6 5-6 7 0 1 0 1 21 16 -
T. Lamb 14 1-2 1-1 1-2 3 2 2 0 1 4 8 -
J. Smith 13 1-1 0-0 3-4 5 0 0 0 1 5 8 -
T. Parker 11 2-3 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 1 6 5 -
D. Brown 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter