Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Iowa Panthers | Indiana State Sycamores | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana State Sycamores +1 (59-58). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Northern Iowa Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Koch * | 34 | 4-9 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | -3.9 |
| Anthony James * | 33 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 7 | +3.5 |
| Deon Mitchell * | 28 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +1.3 |
| Seth Tuttle * | 27 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 7 | -1.0 |
| Marc Sonnen * | 26 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | +2.0 |
| Matt Bohannon | 23 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -4.5 |
| Chip Rank | 17 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.4 |
| Max Martino | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6.4 |
| Nate Buss | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.2 |
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Odum * | 34 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 19 | +1.8 |
| Manny Arop * | 30 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 4 | -1.1 |
| RJ Mahurin * | 28 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 11 | +5.2 |
| Justin Gant * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +7.0 |
| Devonte Brown * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | -7.0 |
| Lucas Eitel | 28 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +10.8 |
| Khristian Smith | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +1.7 |
| Jake Kitchell | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +2.9 |
| Dawon Cummings | 9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | +1.4 |
* = starter