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2013-01-12

Model Predictions

Model Indiana State Sycamores Southern Illinois Salukis Spread Result
Elo 57.5% 42.5% -
Bradley-Terry 50.0% 50.0% -
Margin 44.1% 55.9% +1.3 (3.7 off)
Pythagorean 57.3% 42.7% -
Efficiency 93.4% 6.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 81.7% 18.3% -
Log Adjusted 82.0% 18.0% -

Actual: Southern Illinois Salukis +5 (76-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana State Sycamores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Odum * 32 4-8 0-2 7-9 5 6 1 0 3 15 16 -
M. Arop * 30 6-11 1-5 3-4 6 2 2 0 3 16 12 -
J. Gant * 21 3-5 0-0 4-6 5 0 1 1 3 10 9 -
R. Mahurin * 21 4-9 0-2 0-2 2 0 0 0 1 8 0 -
D. Brown * 17 0-1 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 3 1 -3 -
K. Smith 25 2-6 0-1 2-2 7 0 0 0 2 6 5 -
L. Eitel 23 5-9 5-9 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 15 8 -
D. Cummings 23 0-5 0-3 0-0 3 4 0 0 2 0 0 -
J. Kitchell 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
B. Burnett 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Southern Illinois Salukis

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Brown-Surles * 33 0-3 0-3 2-4 0 4 2 0 4 2 1 -
A. Beane * 29 2-7 0-1 7-9 6 0 0 0 2 11 8 -
J. Early * 29 2-8 0-0 3-4 13 0 3 0 1 7 14 -
D. Jackson * 28 8-15 1-3 12-13 8 0 3 0 4 29 21 -
D. Drinkard * 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
T. Daniels 22 3-3 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 2 7 3 -
J. Swan 20 2-5 0-0 2-3 2 0 0 1 0 6 4 -
J. Pendleton 15 2-5 0-0 5-7 1 1 0 0 1 9 5 -
T.J. Lindsay 12 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 3 4 -
C. Long 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter