Model Predictions
| Model | Evansville Purple Aces | Indiana State Sycamores | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana State Sycamores +10 (72-62). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colt Ryan * | 37 | 6-14 | 1-1 | 6-8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 11 | -3.1 |
| Ned Cox * | 34 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | -6.3 |
| Troy Taylor * | 30 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 14 | -3.7 |
| Lewis Jones * | 20 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | -10.4 |
| Egidijus Mockevicius * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | +3.0 |
| Adam Wing | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +2.7 |
| D.J. Balentine | 15 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5 | -3.7 |
| Jaylon Moore | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -4.4 |
| Ryan Sawvell | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.4 |
| Jordan Jahr | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -1.0 |
| Jordan Nelson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Odum * | 31 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 9-12 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 18 | +4.0 |
| Manny Arop * | 27 | 7-9 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 11 | +5.8 |
| Justin Gant * | 26 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | +1.0 |
| Devonte Brown * | 22 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -7.0 |
| RJ Mahurin * | 21 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 8 | -3.8 |
| Lucas Eitel | 23 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +15.6 |
| Dawon Cummings | 19 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | +6.1 |
| Khristian Smith | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +11.8 |
| Jake Kitchell | 14 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | +4.9 |
* = starter