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Model Predictions

Model Indiana State Sycamores Wichita State Shockers Spread Result
Elo 8.5% 91.5% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 24.0% 76.0% - โœ—
Margin 26.3% 73.7% - โœ—
Pythagorean 38.9% 61.1% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 11.8% 88.2% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 11.7% 88.3% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 27.7% 72.3% - โœ—

Actual: Wichita State Shockers -13 (55-68). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Indiana State Sycamores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Manny Arop * 29 7-11 1-3 2-5 6 0 2 0 1 17 13 +1.8
Devonte Brown * 28 4-6 0-1 2-3 3 0 2 0 3 10 6 +12.8
Justin Gant * 28 2-2 0-0 2-2 4 0 1 0 3 6 6 +13.8
Jake Odum * 27 2-7 0-1 6-6 2 4 0 0 1 10 8 +16.3
RJ Mahurin * 18 3-8 1-4 1-1 4 0 1 1 0 8 6 +4.1
Khristian Smith 27 1-4 0-0 4-4 3 0 1 1 1 6 6 +27.7
Dawon Cummings 20 4-5 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 9 3 +10.2
Jake Kitchell 16 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 2 2 3 +7.4
Lucas Eitel 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 1 -1.3

Wichita State Shockers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Demetric Williams * 35 4-14 2-7 4-4 0 2 1 0 2 14 1 -17.6
Cleanthony Early * 32 3-10 2-6 7-10 11 1 1 1 0 15 19 -16.2
Tekele Cotton * 28 3-8 2-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 8 0 -1.9
Malcolm Armstead * 27 2-11 1-8 0-0 3 4 2 0 3 5 0 -8.1
Ehimen Orukpe * 16 0-2 0-0 0-1 6 0 1 1 1 0 5 -2.3
Carl Hall 21 0-2 0-0 2-2 6 1 0 0 1 2 6 -10.1
Fred VanVleet 16 3-5 2-3 1-2 1 2 0 0 1 9 6 -7.2
Nick Wiggins 14 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 -19.0
Jake White 11 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -2.2

* = starter