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Illinois St.

Season:
Also known as: Illinois St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1159 (#84) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1096 (#115) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +2.0 (#139) HCA +2.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.681 (#115) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +8.3 More → 0.731 (#106) NetEff +8.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +3.2 More → 0.592 (#142) AdjNet +3.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +3.3 More → 0.594 (#141) AdjNet +3.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 67.8 | AdjD 65.5 More → 0.552 (#137) AdjO 67.8 | AdjD 65.5

2026 Schedule & Results

No games found for this season.

2026 Roster

No roster data available for this season.