🐻⬇️🏀

Northern Iowa

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Northern Iowa Panthers
Program History
Coach: Tanya Warren

2027 Team Stats (2 games)

60.5
PPG
67.5
Opp
-7.0
Margin
36.7%
FG%
27.7%
3P%
77.8%
FT%
31.5
RPG
11.5
APG
12.5
TO
65.9
Est. poss./game
55.3
Adj PPG
60.6
Adj Opp PPG
#189
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 1035 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1056, returning +36, transfers -58, freshmen +0 More → 1043 (#132) Preseason prior 1035 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1056, returning +36, transfers -58, freshmen +0
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1018 (#143) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +225 elo More → 1007 (#146) HCA +225 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +9.3 More → -3.5 (#206) HCA +9.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +9.3 More → -3.5 (#208) HCA +9.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.415 (#174) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -6.9 More → 0.458 (#186) AdjNet -6.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -6.9 More → 0.457 (#186) AdjNet -6.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 55.3 | AdjD 60.6 More → 0.462 (#189) AdjO 55.3 | AdjD 60.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 55.3 | AdjD 60.6 More → 0.456 (#205) AdjO 55.3 | AdjD 60.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.463 (#187) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.462 (#188) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 198 | GP 2 More → 1008 (#146) RD 198 | GP 2

2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-02 vs St. Thomas Tommies W 67 - 59
2026-11-06 @ South Dakota State Jackrabbits L 54 - 76
2026-11-12 @ Iowa Hawkeyes - Preview

2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jenna Twedt Jenna Twedt G 2 29.5 15.5 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 1.5 10.0 6.5 -26 2 -13.0 -17.8 35.0 28.6 86.7 -1.93 58.3 45.0
Callie Levin Callie Levin G 2 30.5 9.5 3.0 3.5 0.5 0.0 2.5 10.5 3.5 -7 2 -3.5 -4.6 38.1 0.0 100.0 -0.37 42.6 38.1
Elise Jaeger Elise Jaeger F 2 24.0 8.5 12.0 2.0 2.5 0.0 1.5 7.5 16.0 0 2 0.0 0.0 53.3 100.0 0 2.06 56.7 56.7
Abby Tuttle Abby Tuttle G 2 30.5 8.0 2.0 3.5 2.0 0.0 1.0 8.5 6.0 7 2 3.5 4.6 35.3 37.5 50.0 2.78 44.7 44.1
Mya Nicholson Mya Nicholson G 2 13.0 6.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 3.5 3.5 -15 2 -7.5 -22.2 42.9 40.0 100.0 -1.79 68.5 57.1
Kaylynn Janes Kaylynn Janes F 2 16.5 5.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.5 1.0 -10 2 -5.0 -12.1 36.4 37.5 0 -0.93 50.0 50.0
Taylor Franck Taylor Franck G 2 3.5 3.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.5 1.5 -3 2 -1.5 -16.2 33.3 0.0 100.0 -1.07 63.0 33.3
Lauren Walker Lauren Walker G 1 8.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 -1 1 -1.0 -5.1 0 0 100.0 0.48 113.6 0
Callie Oakland Callie Oakland F 2 12.0 2.0 2.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 1.5 4.0 0.0 -10 2 -5.0 -17.2 25.0 0.0 0 -1.9 25.0 25.0
Maren Schmotzer Maren Schmotzer F 2 27.5 1.0 2.5 0.5 2.0 1.5 1.5 2.0 4.0 -11 2 -5.5 -8.0 25.0 0.0 0.0 -3.16 17.4 25.0
Anna Greene Anna Greene F 2 4.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 0 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 50.0 -0.74 26.6 0.0
Emily Larsen Emily Larsen G 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2 1 2.0 34.3 0 0 0 -0.27 0 0
Harper Whetstine Harper Whetstine G 1 6.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -1.0 2 1 2.0 14.5 0.0 0.0 0 -0.28 0.0 0.0
Le'Sedra Williams Le'Sedra Williams F 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2 1 2.0 34.3 0 0 0 -0.27 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

109 located field-goal attempts in 2 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Jaeger43% Levin42% Levin100% Janes100% Tuttle33% Tuttle50% Nicholson50%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Levin33% Levin38% Oakland33% Tuttle50% Tuttle100% Twedt29% Twedt33% Oakland22% Twedt36%
Misses: who misses most here

Jenna TwedtElise JaegerCallie LevinAbby TuttleKaylynn JanesMya NicholsonCallie Oakland

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 14-20 70.0 28 Elise Jaeger 43% (12 pts) Jenna Twedt 21% (6 pts) Callie Levin 33% (2 misses) Elise Jaeger 33% (2 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 12-36 33.3 24 Callie Levin 42% (10 pts) Abby Tuttle 25% (6 pts) Callie Levin 38% (9 misses) Abby Tuttle 17% (4 misses)
Mid-range left 1-4 25.0 2 Callie Levin 100% (2 pts) - Callie Oakland 33% (1 misses) Jenna Twedt 33% (1 misses)
Mid-range center 0-0 - 0 - - - -
Mid-range right 0-2 0.0 0 - - Abby Tuttle 50% (1 misses) Elise Jaeger 50% (1 misses)
Left corner 3 1-2 50.0 3 Kaylynn Janes 100% (3 pts) - Abby Tuttle 100% (1 misses) -
Right corner 3 0-7 0.0 0 - - Jenna Twedt 29% (2 misses) Abby Tuttle 14% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 left 6-12 50.0 18 Abby Tuttle 33% (6 pts) Jenna Twedt 33% (6 pts) Jenna Twedt 33% (2 misses) Abby Tuttle 17% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 center 2-11 18.2 6 Abby Tuttle 50% (3 pts) Jenna Twedt 50% (3 pts) Callie Oakland 22% (2 misses) Jenna Twedt 22% (2 misses)
Above-break 3 right 4-15 26.7 12 Mya Nicholson 50% (6 pts) Jenna Twedt 25% (3 pts) Jenna Twedt 36% (4 misses) Kaylynn Janes 18% (2 misses)