Belmont
2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)
63.5
PPG
65.5
Opp
-2.0
Margin
37.8%
FG%
29.2%
3P%
67.3%
FT%
38.5
RPG
11.8
APG
15.3
TO
69.1
Est. poss./game
60.3
Adj PPG
60.4
Adj Opp PPG
#157
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2026-2027
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1031 (#146) | Preseason prior 1033 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1058, returning -50, transfers +24, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 973 (#183) | HCA +169 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 973 (#183) | HCA +169 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +7.3 (#108) | HCA +1.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +7.4 (#107) | HCA +1.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.468 (#163) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.579 (#131) | AdjNet +4.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.606 (#127) | AdjNet +5.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.512 (#157) | AdjO 60.3 | AdjD 60.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.513 (#157) | AdjO 60.4 | AdjD 60.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.547 (#147) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.547 (#147) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 978 (#175) | RD 170 | GP 4 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.505 (#158) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
Recency Ensemble
Log Adjusted
Elo
Points Off/Def Recency
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | @ | Princeton Tigers | L | 52 - 63 |
| 2026-11-06 | vs | South Florida Bulls | L | 66 - 69 |
| 2026-11-08 | vs | Columbia Lions | L | 64 - 84 |
| 2026-11-13 | vs | Troy Trojans | W | 72 - 46 |
| 2026-11-17 | vs | Tennessee Lady Volunteers | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-20 | vs | Dayton Flyers | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Chelby Jordan
|
G | 4 | 30.0 | 15.0 | 5.8 | 3.8 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 12.2 | 12.0 | 3 | 3 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 44.9 | 18.8 | 81.2 | 5.22 | 53.5 | 48.0 |
Kenley McCarn
|
G | 4 | 30.2 | 14.0 | 4.8 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 11.5 | 7.8 | -31 | 3 | -10.3 | -13.1 | 45.7 | 40.9 | 83.3 | -0.95 | 57.6 | 55.4 |
Kate McGinnis
|
G | 4 | 19.0 | 11.0 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 10.0 | 2.5 | -1 | 3 | -0.3 | -0.7 | 37.5 | 38.7 | 50.0 | 1.3 | 52.7 | 52.5 |
Quinn Eubank
|
G | 4 | 27.5 | 6.5 | 7.2 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 2.5 | 8.8 | 8.0 | -28 | 3 | -9.3 | -13.7 | 31.4 | 10.0 | 60.0 | -3.2 | 34.9 | 32.9 |
Katie Criswell
|
G | 4 | 23.5 | 6.5 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 6.5 | 4.5 | -29 | 3 | -9.7 | -16.9 | 42.3 | 25.0 | 100.0 | -2.14 | 48.4 | 46.2 |
KK Brodie
|
C | 4 | 22.8 | 5.2 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 6.8 | 4.2 | -24 | 3 | -8.0 | -12.6 | 33.3 | 40.0 | 50.0 | -3.29 | 37.7 | 37.0 |
Tatum Woodson
|
G | 4 | 16.0 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 5.2 | -2.0 | -18 | 3 | -6.0 | -14.3 | 19.0 | 18.2 | 0 | -1.7 | 23.8 | 23.8 |
Samiya Jones
|
F | 4 | 14.5 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.8 | -12 | 3 | -4.0 | -13.6 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.16 | 53.6 | 50.0 |
Leah West
|
F | 3 | 7.0 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 3.0 | -2 | 2 | -1.0 | -5.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -1.26 | 36.2 | 0.0 |
Rylie Beers
|
G | 4 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.8 | -28 | 3 | -9.3 | -39.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -2.71 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Lauren Rust
|
F | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
251 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Kenley McCarnChelby JordanKate McGinnisKatie CriswellQuinn EubankKK Brodie
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 5-8 | 62.5 | 10 | Chelby Jordan 40% (4 pts) | Kate McGinnis 20% (2 pts) | Quinn Eubank 67% (2 misses) | Tatum Woodson 33% (1 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 38-81 | 46.9 | 76 | Chelby Jordan 24% (18 pts) | Kenley McCarn 21% (16 pts) | Quinn Eubank 23% (10 misses) | KK Brodie 21% (9 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 7-28 | 25.0 | 14 | KK Brodie 29% (4 pts) | Katie Criswell 29% (4 pts) | Chelby Jordan 19% (4 misses) | KK Brodie 19% (4 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 3-6 | 50.0 | 6 | Chelby Jordan 67% (4 pts) | Katie Criswell 33% (2 pts) | Chelby Jordan 33% (1 misses) | KK Brodie 33% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 11-22 | 50.0 | 22 | Chelby Jordan 45% (10 pts) | Quinn Eubank 27% (6 pts) | Kate McGinnis 27% (3 misses) | Chelby Jordan 18% (2 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 1-3 | 33.3 | 3 | Kenley McCarn 100% (3 pts) | - | Katie Criswell 50% (1 misses) | Kenley McCarn 50% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 2-4 | 50.0 | 6 | Kate McGinnis 50% (3 pts) | Katie Criswell 50% (3 pts) | Chelby Jordan 50% (1 misses) | Katie Criswell 50% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 12-45 | 26.7 | 36 | Kate McGinnis 42% (15 pts) | Kenley McCarn 33% (12 pts) | Kenley McCarn 27% (9 misses) | Chelby Jordan 15% (5 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 7-21 | 33.3 | 21 | Kate McGinnis 57% (12 pts) | Chelby Jordan 14% (3 pts) | Kate McGinnis 43% (6 misses) | Tatum Woodson 21% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 9-33 | 27.3 | 27 | Kenley McCarn 33% (9 pts) | Chelby Jordan 22% (6 pts) | Kate McGinnis 33% (8 misses) | Chelby Jordan 21% (5 misses) |