Saint Louis Billikens
2026 Team Stats (33 games)
64.2
PPG
67.3
Opp
-3.1
Margin
37.8%
FG%
26.6%
3P%
73.2%
FT%
39.0
RPG
12.2
APG
17.8
TO
73.1
Est. poss./game
61.4
Adj PPG
66.0
Adj Opp PPG
#222
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 790 (#283) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 880 (#259) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 874 (#323) | HCA +106 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -4.6 (#216) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -7.0 (#247) | HCA +2.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.270 (#252) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.270 (#252) | NetEff -7.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.320 (#215) | AdjNet -6.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.317 (#215) | AdjNet -6.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.397 (#222) | AdjO 61.4 | AdjD 66.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.357 (#274) | AdjO 58.8 | AdjD 65.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.315 (#253) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.308 (#256) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 882 (#252) | RD 151 | GP 32 |
2026 Schedule & Results
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Zya Nugent
|
G | 33 | 31.8 | 12.4 | 6.8 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 2.8 | 11.9 | 7.9 | -114 | 29 | -3.9 | -5.2 | 31.0 | 24.4 | 71.3 | 0.1 | 42.8 | 34.8 |
Alyssa Koerkenmeier
|
C | 33 | 30.0 | 12.1 | 9.5 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 8.6 | 15.2 | -118 | 29 | -4.1 | -5.5 | 52.5 | 0 | 72.3 | 0.03 | 57.8 | 52.5 |
Alexia Nelson
|
G | 33 | 34.6 | 11.5 | 3.4 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 3.0 | 11.8 | 4.6 | -151 | 29 | -5.2 | -6.3 | 38.9 | 21.4 | 71.4 | -2.34 | 44.3 | 40.8 |
Jahda Denis
|
G | 33 | 29.6 | 11.2 | 2.9 | 2.6 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 3.3 | 9.9 | 5.2 | -120 | 29 | -4.1 | -5.8 | 35.6 | 28.0 | 88.6 | -0.62 | 48.9 | 41.0 |
Zhykera Brown
|
G | 32 | 21.6 | 7.7 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 2.2 | 8.1 | 0.1 | -54 | 28 | -1.9 | -3.7 | 34.6 | 30.6 | 76.9 | 0.76 | 45.1 | 43.3 |
Mia Bergstrom
|
G | 33 | 14.5 | 3.3 | 2.0 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 4.4 | 1.3 | -58 | 29 | -2.0 | -5.7 | 25.0 | 22.0 | 73.3 | -1.09 | 36.5 | 34.4 |
Ellie Paloucek
|
G | 5 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 2.4 | - | - | - | - | 83.3 | 83.3 | 0 | -1.1 | 125.0 | 125.0 |
Hannah Wallace
|
G | 11 | 17.5 | 2.9 | 3.1 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 3.4 | 3.6 | -5 | 7 | -0.7 | -1.6 | 32.4 | 0 | 53.3 | -0.0 | 36.7 | 32.4 |
Jasaiyah Wallace
|
F | 33 | 9.6 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 3.1 | -48 | 28 | -1.7 | -7.1 | 52.9 | 0 | 61.5 | -2.63 | 54.7 | 52.9 |
Jada Tiggett
|
F | 31 | 9.9 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 1.7 | 3.8 | -41 | 27 | -1.5 | -7.4 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -1.45 | 50.5 | 50.0 |
Isabel Tillett
|
G | 33 | 14.1 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 2.3 | -31 | 29 | -1.1 | -3.1 | 35.7 | 50.0 | 56.2 | -0.77 | 49.9 | 42.9 |
M. Triantafylli
|
C | 2 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | - | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.75 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2025-2026 Shot Zones
1972 located field-goal attempts in 33 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Alexia NelsonAlyssa KoerkenmeierZya NugentJahda DenisZhykera BrownMia Bergstrom
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 349-667 | 52.3 | 698 | Alyssa Koerkenmeier 33% (228 pts) | Alexia Nelson 19% (132 pts) | Alyssa Koerkenmeier 27% (87 misses) | Alexia Nelson 24% (77 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 153-427 | 35.8 | 306 | Alexia Nelson 28% (86 pts) | Alyssa Koerkenmeier 22% (68 pts) | Zya Nugent 25% (69 misses) | Alexia Nelson 22% (61 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 21-101 | 20.8 | 42 | Jahda Denis 48% (20 pts) | Alexia Nelson 24% (10 pts) | Zya Nugent 31% (25 misses) | Jahda Denis 21% (17 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 29-62 | 46.8 | 58 | Alexia Nelson 38% (22 pts) | Jahda Denis 34% (20 pts) | Alexia Nelson 33% (11 misses) | Zya Nugent 27% (9 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 33-108 | 30.6 | 66 | Alexia Nelson 36% (24 pts) | Zya Nugent 18% (12 pts) | Zya Nugent 29% (22 misses) | Alexia Nelson 25% (19 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 17-57 | 29.8 | 51 | Zhykera Brown 41% (21 pts) | Mia Bergstrom 35% (18 pts) | Zhykera Brown 42% (17 misses) | Mia Bergstrom 22% (9 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 18-59 | 30.5 | 54 | Jahda Denis 33% (18 pts) | Mia Bergstrom 22% (12 pts) | Mia Bergstrom 34% (14 misses) | Jahda Denis 24% (10 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 54-217 | 24.9 | 162 | Jahda Denis 30% (48 pts) | Zhykera Brown 24% (39 pts) | Zya Nugent 25% (41 misses) | Zhykera Brown 25% (40 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 23-73 | 31.5 | 69 | Zhykera Brown 26% (18 pts) | Zya Nugent 26% (18 pts) | Alexia Nelson 28% (14 misses) | Zya Nugent 26% (13 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 49-201 | 24.4 | 147 | Zhykera Brown 29% (42 pts) | Zya Nugent 24% (36 pts) | Mia Bergstrom 26% (39 misses) | Zhykera Brown 22% (34 misses) |