Saint Louis
2026-2027 Team Stats (3 games)
76.3
PPG
70.3
Opp
+6.0
Margin
46.4%
FG%
35.2%
3P%
65.5%
FT%
35.0
RPG
15.0
APG
16.7
TO
76.4
Est. poss./game
70.0
Adj PPG
68.9
Adj Opp PPG
#160
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2026-2027
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 966 (#185) | Preseason prior 985 (returning production + recruiting): last season 906, returning +30, transfers +50, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 993 (#161) | HCA +169 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 994 (#160) | HCA +169 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -0.4 (#165) | HCA +1.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -0.4 (#165) | HCA +1.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.563 (#140) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.507 (#157) | AdjNet +1.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.507 (#160) | AdjNet +1.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.506 (#160) | AdjO 70.0 | AdjD 68.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.505 (#160) | AdjO 69.8 | AdjD 68.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.502 (#163) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.502 (#163) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 996 (#158) | RD 180 | GP 3 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.492 (#161) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
Recency Ensemble
Log Adjusted
Elo
Points Off/Def Recency
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | @ | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | L | 84 - 91 |
| 2026-11-05 | vs | Milwaukee Panthers | W | 81 - 62 |
| 2026-11-11 | vs | Eastern Illinois Panthers | W | 64 - 58 |
| 2026-11-14 | vs | Illinois State Redbirds | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-18 | vs | Missouri State Lady Bears | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tyonna Bailey
|
G | 3 | 36.0 | 23.7 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 2.7 | 16.3 | 14.3 | 16 | 3 | 5.3 | 5.9 | 53.1 | 35.3 | 72.2 | 0.16 | 62.4 | 59.2 |
D'Myjah Bolds
|
F | 3 | 28.7 | 15.0 | 8.3 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 3.7 | 1.7 | 10.3 | 19.3 | 35 | 3 | 11.7 | 16.3 | 54.8 | 41.7 | 40.0 | 1.88 | 59.8 | 62.9 |
Mia Bergstrom
|
G | 3 | 32.3 | 11.3 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 9.7 | 6.7 | 25 | 3 | 8.3 | 10.3 | 41.4 | 41.7 | 0 | -0.01 | 58.6 | 58.6 |
Jahda Denis
|
G | 3 | 33.3 | 10.0 | 2.7 | 4.3 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 4.7 | 8.7 | 6.3 | 19 | 3 | 6.3 | 7.6 | 34.6 | 22.2 | 83.3 | -0.52 | 48.0 | 38.5 |
Alyssa Koerkenmeier
|
C | 3 | 22.0 | 4.7 | 4.3 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 4.0 | 7.3 | 28 | 3 | 9.3 | 16.8 | 50.0 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.92 | 54.3 | 50.0 |
Jameela James
|
C | 3 | 18.0 | 4.0 | 3.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 3.0 | 7.0 | -11 | 3 | -3.7 | -8.2 | 55.6 | 0 | 50.0 | -2.47 | 55.8 | 55.6 |
Peyton Olufson
|
G | 3 | 16.0 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.3 | 3.3 | -0.3 | -9 | 3 | -3.0 | -7.5 | 30.0 | 16.7 | 100.0 | -2.71 | 41.4 | 35.0 |
Jasaiyah Wallace
|
F | 3 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 2.3 | -7 | 3 | -2.3 | -14.2 | 60.0 | 0 | 0 | -2.82 | 60.0 | 60.0 |
Gabby Spink
|
G | 3 | 6.7 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 2 | 3 | 0.7 | 3.8 | 28.6 | 33.3 | 0 | -1.35 | 35.7 | 35.7 |
Evelyn Shane
|
F | 3 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.3 | -9 | 3 | -3.0 | -15.0 | 33.3 | 0 | 50.0 | -2.22 | 38.7 | 33.3 |
Jada Tiggett
|
F | 2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 2 | 0.5 | 47.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.09 | 0 | 0 |
Naomi Ikpotokin
|
C | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
181 located field-goal attempts in 3 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Tyonna BaileyD'Myjah BoldsMia BergstromJahda DenisPeyton OlufsonJasaiyah WallaceGabby Spink
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 33-47 | 70.2 | 66 | D'Myjah Bolds 33% (22 pts) | Tyonna Bailey 27% (18 pts) | D'Myjah Bolds 29% (4 misses) | Gabby Spink 21% (3 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 12-30 | 40.0 | 24 | Tyonna Bailey 42% (10 pts) | Alyssa Koerkenmeier 17% (4 pts) | Tyonna Bailey 28% (5 misses) | Jahda Denis 22% (4 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 5-12 | 41.7 | 10 | Tyonna Bailey 40% (4 pts) | Alyssa Koerkenmeier 20% (2 pts) | Jahda Denis 57% (4 misses) | Tyonna Bailey 43% (3 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 3-9 | 33.3 | 6 | Jahda Denis 33% (2 pts) | Peyton Olufson 33% (2 pts) | Jahda Denis 33% (2 misses) | Jameela James 17% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 6-12 | 50.0 | 12 | Tyonna Bailey 50% (6 pts) | D'Myjah Bolds 17% (2 pts) | Jasaiyah Wallace 33% (2 misses) | Tyonna Bailey 33% (2 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 2-6 | 33.3 | 6 | Tyonna Bailey 100% (6 pts) | - | Mia Bergstrom 50% (2 misses) | Jahda Denis 25% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 2-10 | 20.0 | 6 | Gabby Spink 50% (3 pts) | Mia Bergstrom 50% (3 pts) | Peyton Olufson 38% (3 misses) | Tyonna Bailey 25% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 6-19 | 31.6 | 18 | Mia Bergstrom 67% (12 pts) | Jahda Denis 17% (3 pts) | Mia Bergstrom 31% (4 misses) | D'Myjah Bolds 23% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 8-15 | 53.3 | 24 | Mia Bergstrom 50% (12 pts) | D'Myjah Bolds 38% (9 pts) | D'Myjah Bolds 29% (2 misses) | Mia Bergstrom 29% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 7-21 | 33.3 | 21 | D'Myjah Bolds 29% (6 pts) | Tyonna Bailey 29% (6 pts) | Mia Bergstrom 36% (5 misses) | Tyonna Bailey 29% (4 misses) |