UIC
2026-2027 Team Stats (3 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1019 (#148) | Preseason prior 989 (returning production + recruiting): last season 907, returning +30, transfers +52, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1006 (#152) | HCA +215 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1011 (#137) | HCA +215 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +0.6 (#151) | HCA +9.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +0.6 (#149) | HCA +9.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.227 (#238) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.408 (#208) | AdjNet -8.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.402 (#209) | AdjNet -9.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.507 (#154) | AdjO 57.3 | AdjD 55.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.510 (#150) | AdjO 57.3 | AdjD 55.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.473 (#175) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.474 (#176) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 993 (#157) | RD 198 | GP 2 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More โ | 0.455 (#174) | Preseason prior only; more training games are needed for a forecast. |
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | @ | Ohio State Buckeyes | L | 34 - 81 |
| 2026-11-05 | @ | Robert Morris Colonials | W | 71 - 58 |
| 2026-11-08 | vs | Northwestern Wildcats | W | 76 - 71 |
| 2026-11-11 | vs | Chicago State Cougars | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-15 | @ | Iowa State Cyclones | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Julia Coleman
|
F | 3 | 27.0 | 16.3 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 13.7 | 8.7 | -29 | 2 | -14.5 | -25.7 | 46.3 | 100.0 | 62.5 | 0.64 | 51.0 | 47.6 |
Tutu Clayton
|
G | 3 | 33.7 | 12.0 | 2.3 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 3.3 | 10.7 | 8.7 | -23 | 2 | -11.5 | -13.9 | 40.6 | 16.7 | 61.5 | -1.64 | 47.7 | 43.8 |
Miyah Brown
|
G | 3 | 32.7 | 7.7 | 6.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 6.7 | 7.3 | - | - | - | - | 45.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | - | 56.3 | 55.0 |
Evyn Carrier
|
C | 3 | 18.7 | 6.0 | 7.7 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 4.3 | 11.0 | -9 | 2 | -4.5 | -11.8 | 46.2 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -2.17 | 57.5 | 46.2 |
Nevaeh Foster
|
G | 3 | 30.0 | 5.3 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 7.3 | 1.3 | -18 | 2 | -9.0 | -11.2 | 22.7 | 26.7 | 100.0 | 1.4 | 35.0 | 31.8 |
Aileen Becerril Landeros
|
G | 2 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 4.0 | 1.5 | -7 | 2 | -3.5 | -12.8 | 37.5 | 16.7 | 100.0 | -0.45 | 53.6 | 43.8 |
Salma Khedr
|
G | 3 | 22.7 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 5.3 | 0.3 | -18 | 2 | -9.0 | -16.3 | 18.8 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 0.04 | 30.7 | 18.8 |
Magdalena Winter
|
C | 3 | 18.0 | 3.7 | 3.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 3.7 | 2.7 | -20 | 2 | -10.0 | -19.5 | 45.5 | 0 | 50.0 | -1.73 | 46.3 | 45.5 |
Lyla Kahrimanovic
|
G | 1 | 14.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | -9 | 1 | -9.0 | -25.2 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | -0.66 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
Danyelle London
|
G | 3 | 3.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | -11 | 2 | -5.5 | -59.5 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -2.6 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
Danielle Brooks
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Mecca Crawford
|
F | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -6 | 1 | -6.0 | -86.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.27 | 0 | 0 |
Aniyah McKenzie
|
F | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.47 | 0 | 0 |
London Walker-George
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
168 located field-goal attempts in 3 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Julia ColemanTutu ClaytonMiyah BrownNevaeh FosterEvyn CarrierAileen Becerril LanderosSalma Khedr
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 26-37 | 70.3 | 52 | Julia Coleman 42% (22 pts) | Miyah Brown 15% (8 pts) | Evyn Carrier 18% (2 misses) | Julia Coleman 18% (2 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 19-63 | 30.2 | 38 | Julia Coleman 37% (14 pts) | Tutu Clayton 26% (10 pts) | Julia Coleman 36% (16 misses) | Salma Khedr 20% (9 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 2-6 | 33.3 | 4 | Aileen Becerril Landeros 50% (2 pts) | Salma Khedr 50% (2 pts) | Miyah Brown 50% (2 misses) | Evyn Carrier 25% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 2-6 | 33.3 | 4 | Evyn Carrier 50% (2 pts) | Tutu Clayton 50% (2 pts) | Tutu Clayton 75% (3 misses) | Julia Coleman 25% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 2-7 | 28.6 | 4 | Salma Khedr 50% (2 pts) | Tutu Clayton 50% (2 pts) | Julia Coleman 40% (2 misses) | Tutu Clayton 40% (2 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 0-3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Aileen Becerril Landeros 33% (1 misses) | Evyn Carrier 33% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 1-7 | 14.3 | 3 | Miyah Brown 100% (3 pts) | - | Nevaeh Foster 33% (2 misses) | Tutu Clayton 33% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 8-19 | 42.1 | 24 | Nevaeh Foster 38% (9 pts) | Miyah Brown 25% (6 pts) | Nevaeh Foster 45% (5 misses) | Aileen Becerril Landeros 18% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 1-5 | 20.0 | 3 | Miyah Brown 100% (3 pts) | - | Tutu Clayton 50% (2 misses) | Aileen Becerril Landeros 25% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 4-15 | 26.7 | 12 | Tutu Clayton 50% (6 pts) | Aileen Becerril Landeros 25% (3 pts) | Tutu Clayton 36% (4 misses) | Nevaeh Foster 27% (3 misses) |