🐻⬇️🏀

Fairfield Stags

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Fairfield Stags
Program History
Coach: Chris Casey

2026 Team Stats (32 games)

74.9
PPG
71.1
Opp
+3.8
Margin
43.3%
FG%
33.8%
3P%
71.3%
FT%
38.8
RPG
12.5
APG
10.1
TO
81.0
Pace
71.3
AdjO
77.6
AdjD
#257
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1078 (#120) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1065 (#120) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 1060 (#89) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → -6.5 (#261) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +11.5 (#210) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.540 (#151) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +1.5 More → 0.547 (#159) NetEff +1.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -8.4 More → 0.274 (#257) AdjNet -8.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -8.6 More → 0.270 (#259) AdjNet -8.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.3 | AdjD 77.6 More → 0.362 (#257) AdjO 71.3 | AdjD 77.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.5 | AdjD 69.4 More → 0.571 (#149) AdjO 72.5 | AdjD 69.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.723 (#206) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.701 (#193) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 143 | GP 32 More → 1105 (#132) RD 143 | GP 32

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 @ Penn State Nittany Lions L 68 - 76
2025-11-08 @ NJIT Highlanders W 74 - 53
2025-11-10 @ Seton Hall Pirates L 59 - 82
2025-11-14 vs Stonehill Skyhawks W 73 - 71
2025-11-16 vs Loyola Maryland Greyhounds W 85 - 82
2025-11-22 @ Le Moyne Dolphins W 97 - 83
2025-11-26 vs Columbia Lions L 77 - 106
2025-11-30 vs New Hampshire Wildcats W 72 - 68
2025-12-05 @ Manhattan Jaspers L 66 - 70
2025-12-14 vs Monmouth Hawks W 73 - 65
2025-12-18 @ Central Connecticut Blue Devils W 84 - 70
2025-12-22 vs City College NY Beavers W 121 - 58
2025-12-29 vs Saint Peter's Peacocks L 66 - 70
2026-01-02 @ Canisius Golden Griffins L 81 - 85
2026-01-04 @ Niagara Purple Eagles W 83 - 75
2026-01-09 vs Rider Broncs W 68 - 62
2026-01-14 vs Manhattan Jaspers W 98 - 62
2026-01-19 @ Siena Saints L 77 - 85
2026-01-22 vs Niagara Purple Eagles W 62 - 61
2026-01-24 vs Canisius Golden Griffins W 61 - 55
2026-01-30 @ Iona Gaels W 71 - 70
2026-02-01 vs Quinnipiac Bobcats L 65 - 72
2026-02-05 @ Sacred Heart Pioneers W 92 - 87
2026-02-07 vs Marist Red Foxes W 63 - 60
2026-02-15 @ Saint Peter's Peacocks L 74 - 83
2026-02-20 vs Sacred Heart Pioneers W 78 - 68
2026-02-22 @ Quinnipiac Bobcats W 85 - 79
2026-02-27 vs Siena Saints W 72 - 58
2026-03-01 vs Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers L 47 - 69
2026-03-05 vs Manhattan Jaspers W 71 - 60
2026-03-06 @ Saint Peter's Peacocks W 74 - 55
2026-03-08 @ Siena Saints L 61 - 76

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
B. Sparks B. Sparks - 32 33.2 17.1 3.3 2.7 1.4 0.1 1.6 14.2 8.8 66 2.6 4.3 41.3 39.1 80.6 0.06 54.9 51.2
Brandon Benjamin Brandon Benjamin - 30 31.3 14.4 10.4 1.2 0.7 1.7 1.7 10.4 16.3 -24 -1.8 -15.1 58.0 28.6 70.1 -0.23 60.9 58.3
Declan Wucherpfennig Declan Wucherpfennig - 32 31.7 12.3 8.8 1.6 0.8 0.5 1.2 9.1 13.7 -38 -3.5 -12.1 52.9 33.3 65.7 0.62 58.8 56.4
D. Turner D. Turner G 32 20.3 8.6 1.6 1.6 0.7 0.1 1.2 7.8 3.5 -26 -2.2 -149.6 36.1 33.6 80.6 0.03 49.4 44.4
Tony Williams Tony Williams - 31 19.5 6.2 1.3 1.7 0.9 0.0 0.9 6.3 2.9 -48 -3.7 -61.6 37.1 31.5 75.0 -0.09 47.5 46.1
Eric Mejia Eric Mejia - 32 19.1 5.0 2.2 1.6 0.9 0.1 1.0 4.3 4.4 44 1.8 4.4 34.5 28.6 72.6 0.18 46.5 38.1
Halon Rawlins Halon Rawlins - 31 17.0 4.2 2.5 1.1 0.7 0.6 0.8 4.6 3.7 -65 -5.4 -83.2 34.5 25.4 63.6 0.3 42.5 40.5
C. Estevez C. Estevez G 19 11.6 3.7 1.3 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.5 3.7 2.1 12 0.8 2.7 35.7 40.6 72.7 0.12 47.4 45.0
Nasir Rodriguez Nasir Rodriguez - 20 7.3 2.9 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.7 3.1 0.9 -43 -4.8 -286.7 29.0 34.3 62.5 0.13 42.0 38.7
I. Munkadi I. Munkadi - 32 9.5 2.7 2.8 0.1 0.2 0.8 0.3 1.8 4.4 28 1.2 7.3 55.9 25.0 51.3 -0.46 57.1 56.8
M. Rogan M. Rogan - 13 8.4 1.4 1.4 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.6 -10 -1.1 -5.9 46.7 25.0 100.0 -0.15 56.7 53.3
J. Ganton J. Ganton - 3 2.3 1.3 1.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 1.7 0.7 11 3.7 153.5 40.0 0 0 0.06 40.0 40.0
R. Zan R. Zan - 26 8.3 1.1 1.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.2 -29 -2.6 -46.3 37.5 25.0 0.0 0.01 43.2 43.8
T. Ostop T. Ostop - 3 2.0 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3 -0.3 8 2.7 111.6 25.0 0.0 0 0.06 25.0 25.0
L. Davidson L. Davidson - 4 2.0 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 10 2.5 139.5 0.0 0 100.0 0.06 53.2 0.0
N. Best N. Best G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
M. Curtis M. Curtis G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - -4 -0.2 -0.6 - - - -0.18 - -
P. Smith P. Smith F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Aidan May Aidan May G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG