Model Predictions
| Model | Fairfield Stags | Manhattan Jaspers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.1% | 30.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.0% | 24.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 70.7% | 29.3% | -4.8 | ✗ (8.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 83.5% | 16.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.0% | 23.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.2% | 22.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Manhattan Jaspers +4 (70-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Sparks | 37 | 8-16 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 15 | +1.2 |
| D. Wucherpfennig | 34 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 29 | -2.2 |
| D. Turner | 26 | 2-11 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -4 | -7.1 |
| E. Mejia | 22 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | -0.8 |
| B. Benjamin | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | +6.8 |
| C. Estevez | 18 | 2-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1 | -3.1 |
| H. Rawlins | 17 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | -3.9 |
| I. Munkadi | 13 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1.9 |
| R. Zan | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -9.2 |
| M. Rogan | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -4.2 |
| T. Williams | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -5.1 |
Manhattan Jaspers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Winston | 38 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 13 | +9.0 |
| D. Dinkins | 35 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | +2.8 |
| F. Roxburgh | 31 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 6 | +2.5 |
| E. Oliver-Bush | 30 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13 | +3.0 |
| M. Ljubicic | 23 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | +4.9 |
| T. Jones | 22 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | +3.2 |
| A. Isaac | 14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | +0.7 |
| Q. Elliott | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.8 |
| J. Delaney | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +4.4 |
* = starter