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Manhattan

Also known as: Manhattan Jaspers, Manhattan
Program History

2026-2027 Team Stats (3 games)

64.3
PPG
73.0
Opp
-8.7
Margin
41.4%
FG%
24.6%
3P%
59.5%
FT%
32.7
RPG
9.7
APG
12.7
TO
67.5
Est. poss./game
62.5
Adj PPG
69.6
Adj Opp PPG
#324
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 725 (returning production + recruiting): last season 861, returning -55, transfers -40, freshmen -41 More โ†’ 735 (#322) Preseason prior 725 (returning production + recruiting): last season 861, returning -55, transfers -40, freshmen -41
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +212 elo More โ†’ 860 (#325) HCA +212 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +212 elo More โ†’ 923 (#316) HCA +212 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.0 More โ†’ -10.8 (#303) HCA +2.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.0 More โ†’ -10.5 (#302) HCA +2.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.211 (#286) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -12.1 More โ†’ 0.268 (#318) AdjNet -12.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -11.4 More โ†’ 0.272 (#311) AdjNet -11.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 62.5 | AdjD 69.6 More โ†’ 0.311 (#324) AdjO 62.5 | AdjD 69.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 62.5 | AdjD 69.6 More โ†’ 0.345 (#322) AdjO 62.5 | AdjD 69.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.291 (#310) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.298 (#308) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 182 | GP 3 More โ†’ 852 (#304) RD 182 | GP 3
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Chronological component blend with rest and venue. More โ†’ 0.217 (#316) Chronological component blend with rest and venue.

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-03 @ Kentucky Wildcats L 57 - 85
2026-11-05 vs UAlbany Great Danes L 68 - 72
2026-11-08 @ Maine Black Bears W 68 - 62
2026-11-14 @ Le Moyne Dolphins - Preview
2026-11-17 vs Fordham Rams - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Novak Manojlovic Novak Manojlovic F 2 20.5 11.5 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 9.0 3.0 -25 2 -12.5 -24.8 61.1 0 25.0 -1.24 58.2 61.1
Ben Pearce Ben Pearce G 3 30.7 11.3 3.0 2.3 2.0 0.3 1.7 9.0 8.3 -35 3 -11.7 -15.3 33.3 23.1 81.2 -1.59 49.9 38.9
Dusan Eric Dusan Eric F 3 11.3 8.3 1.3 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.7 5.3 4.3 13 3 4.3 15.0 62.5 55.6 0.0 0.25 76.0 78.1
Kevin Kearney Kevin Kearney F 3 14.3 7.3 1.3 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 4.3 4.3 -11 3 -3.7 -10.3 53.8 25.0 70.0 -0.94 63.2 57.7
Josiah Sabino Josiah Sabino G 3 22.7 7.3 4.0 0.7 1.0 0.0 0.7 5.0 7.3 -8 3 -2.7 -4.7 40.0 0.0 62.5 -0.42 49.9 40.0
Ben Tweedy Ben Tweedy G 3 23.7 6.3 1.3 2.3 0.7 0.0 0.7 5.7 4.3 -14 3 -4.7 -8.0 35.3 25.0 57.1 -0.43 47.3 44.1
Ognjen Stankovic Ognjen Stankovic F 3 24.0 5.3 7.3 0.3 1.7 0.0 4.3 6.0 4.3 -11 3 -3.7 -6.1 38.9 0 33.3 -0.98 38.8 38.9
Isaac Johnson Isaac Johnson F 3 21.3 3.3 2.3 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.7 4.7 1.0 -20 3 -6.7 -12.5 28.6 0.0 33.3 -0.38 30.0 28.6
Quron Elliott Quron Elliott G 3 15.0 2.7 2.0 2.0 0.3 0.0 0.7 2.0 4.3 -7 3 -2.3 -6.3 50.0 0.0 66.7 -0.81 54.6 50.0
Liam McChesney Liam McChesney F 3 12.0 2.0 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.7 1.0 2.0 1.7 -20 3 -6.7 -22.4 33.3 20.0 50.0 -1.28 43.6 41.7
Asier Miguel Asier Miguel G 2 3.5 1.5 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 5 2 2.5 27.9 50.0 50.0 0 -0.66 75.0 75.0
Anthony Pacciarelli Anthony Pacciarelli G 2 10.5 1.5 1.0 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 4.0 0.5 -7 2 -3.5 -12.8 12.5 20.0 0 -0.26 18.8 18.8
DaSean Lewis DaSean Lewis G 2 0.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 1 2 0.5 33.3 0.0 0.0 66.7 -0.02 43.1 0.0
Jameson Borodawka Jameson Borodawka G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Jaeden Robley Jaeden Robley G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Jahzar Greene Jahzar Greene G 2 2.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 7 2 3.5 65.1 0.0 0 0 0.21 0.0 0.0
Nick Lukmann Nick Lukmann G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Jackson Delaney Jackson Delaney G 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2 1 2.0 70.6 0 0 0 -0.44 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

162 located field-goal attempts in 3 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Manojlovic33% Manojlovic18% Pearce33% Elliott100% Eric33% Pacciarelli50% Eric50% Miguel50% Pearce60%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Johnson29% Stankovic22% Stankovic100% Pearce100% Kearney50% Pearce25% Pacciarelli29% Pearce27% Pearce33% Tweedy29%
Misses: who misses most here

Dusan EricNovak ManojlovicBen PearceBen TweedyKevin KearneyOgnjen StankovicIsaac JohnsonQuron ElliottAnthony PacciarelliAsier Miguel

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 12-19 63.2 24 Novak Manojlovic 33% (8 pts) Kevin Kearney 25% (6 pts) Isaac Johnson 29% (2 misses) Novak Manojlovic 29% (2 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 33-70 47.1 66 Novak Manojlovic 18% (12 pts) Ben Pearce 15% (10 pts) Ognjen Stankovic 22% (8 misses) Ben Pearce 16% (6 misses)
Mid-range left 3-4 75.0 6 Ben Pearce 33% (2 pts) Kevin Kearney 33% (2 pts) Ognjen Stankovic 100% (1 misses) -
Mid-range center 1-3 33.3 2 Quron Elliott 100% (2 pts) - Ben Pearce 100% (2 misses) -
Mid-range right 3-5 60.0 6 Dusan Eric 33% (2 pts) Liam McChesney 33% (2 pts) Kevin Kearney 50% (1 misses) Novak Manojlovic 50% (1 misses)
Left corner 3 0-4 0.0 0 - - Ben Pearce 25% (1 misses) Dusan Eric 25% (1 misses)
Right corner 3 2-9 22.2 6 Anthony Pacciarelli 50% (3 pts) Ben Tweedy 50% (3 pts) Anthony Pacciarelli 29% (2 misses) Ben Tweedy 29% (2 misses)
Above-break 3 left 6-21 28.6 18 Dusan Eric 50% (9 pts) Ben Tweedy 33% (6 pts) Ben Pearce 27% (4 misses) Ben Tweedy 20% (3 misses)
Above-break 3 center 2-8 25.0 6 Asier Miguel 50% (3 pts) Dusan Eric 50% (3 pts) Ben Pearce 33% (2 misses) Anthony Pacciarelli 17% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 right 5-19 26.3 15 Ben Pearce 60% (9 pts) Dusan Eric 20% (3 pts) Ben Tweedy 29% (4 misses) Liam McChesney 21% (3 misses)