Manhattan
2026-2027 Team Stats (3 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 735 (#322) | Preseason prior 725 (returning production + recruiting): last season 861, returning -55, transfers -40, freshmen -41 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 860 (#325) | HCA +212 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 923 (#316) | HCA +212 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -10.8 (#303) | HCA +2.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -10.5 (#302) | HCA +2.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.211 (#286) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.268 (#318) | AdjNet -12.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.272 (#311) | AdjNet -11.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.311 (#324) | AdjO 62.5 | AdjD 69.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.345 (#322) | AdjO 62.5 | AdjD 69.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.291 (#310) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.298 (#308) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 852 (#304) | RD 182 | GP 3 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More โ | 0.217 (#316) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-03 | @ | Kentucky Wildcats | L | 57 - 85 |
| 2026-11-05 | vs | UAlbany Great Danes | L | 68 - 72 |
| 2026-11-08 | @ | Maine Black Bears | W | 68 - 62 |
| 2026-11-14 | @ | Le Moyne Dolphins | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-17 | vs | Fordham Rams | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Novak Manojlovic
|
F | 2 | 20.5 | 11.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 9.0 | 3.0 | -25 | 2 | -12.5 | -24.8 | 61.1 | 0 | 25.0 | -1.24 | 58.2 | 61.1 |
Ben Pearce
|
G | 3 | 30.7 | 11.3 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 9.0 | 8.3 | -35 | 3 | -11.7 | -15.3 | 33.3 | 23.1 | 81.2 | -1.59 | 49.9 | 38.9 |
Dusan Eric
|
F | 3 | 11.3 | 8.3 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 5.3 | 4.3 | 13 | 3 | 4.3 | 15.0 | 62.5 | 55.6 | 0.0 | 0.25 | 76.0 | 78.1 |
Kevin Kearney
|
F | 3 | 14.3 | 7.3 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.3 | 4.3 | -11 | 3 | -3.7 | -10.3 | 53.8 | 25.0 | 70.0 | -0.94 | 63.2 | 57.7 |
Josiah Sabino
|
G | 3 | 22.7 | 7.3 | 4.0 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 5.0 | 7.3 | -8 | 3 | -2.7 | -4.7 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 62.5 | -0.42 | 49.9 | 40.0 |
Ben Tweedy
|
G | 3 | 23.7 | 6.3 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 5.7 | 4.3 | -14 | 3 | -4.7 | -8.0 | 35.3 | 25.0 | 57.1 | -0.43 | 47.3 | 44.1 |
Ognjen Stankovic
|
F | 3 | 24.0 | 5.3 | 7.3 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 4.3 | 6.0 | 4.3 | -11 | 3 | -3.7 | -6.1 | 38.9 | 0 | 33.3 | -0.98 | 38.8 | 38.9 |
Isaac Johnson
|
F | 3 | 21.3 | 3.3 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 4.7 | 1.0 | -20 | 3 | -6.7 | -12.5 | 28.6 | 0.0 | 33.3 | -0.38 | 30.0 | 28.6 |
Quron Elliott
|
G | 3 | 15.0 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 4.3 | -7 | 3 | -2.3 | -6.3 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -0.81 | 54.6 | 50.0 |
Liam McChesney
|
F | 3 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.7 | -20 | 3 | -6.7 | -22.4 | 33.3 | 20.0 | 50.0 | -1.28 | 43.6 | 41.7 |
Asier Miguel
|
G | 2 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5 | 2 | 2.5 | 27.9 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.66 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
Anthony Pacciarelli
|
G | 2 | 10.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.5 | -7 | 2 | -3.5 | -12.8 | 12.5 | 20.0 | 0 | -0.26 | 18.8 | 18.8 |
DaSean Lewis
|
G | 2 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1 | 2 | 0.5 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -0.02 | 43.1 | 0.0 |
Jameson Borodawka
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Jaeden Robley
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Jahzar Greene
|
G | 2 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 7 | 2 | 3.5 | 65.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.21 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Nick Lukmann
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Jackson Delaney
|
G | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 2.0 | 70.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.44 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
162 located field-goal attempts in 3 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Dusan EricNovak ManojlovicBen PearceBen TweedyKevin KearneyOgnjen StankovicIsaac JohnsonQuron ElliottAnthony PacciarelliAsier Miguel
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 12-19 | 63.2 | 24 | Novak Manojlovic 33% (8 pts) | Kevin Kearney 25% (6 pts) | Isaac Johnson 29% (2 misses) | Novak Manojlovic 29% (2 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 33-70 | 47.1 | 66 | Novak Manojlovic 18% (12 pts) | Ben Pearce 15% (10 pts) | Ognjen Stankovic 22% (8 misses) | Ben Pearce 16% (6 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 3-4 | 75.0 | 6 | Ben Pearce 33% (2 pts) | Kevin Kearney 33% (2 pts) | Ognjen Stankovic 100% (1 misses) | - |
| Mid-range center | 1-3 | 33.3 | 2 | Quron Elliott 100% (2 pts) | - | Ben Pearce 100% (2 misses) | - |
| Mid-range right | 3-5 | 60.0 | 6 | Dusan Eric 33% (2 pts) | Liam McChesney 33% (2 pts) | Kevin Kearney 50% (1 misses) | Novak Manojlovic 50% (1 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 0-4 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Ben Pearce 25% (1 misses) | Dusan Eric 25% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 2-9 | 22.2 | 6 | Anthony Pacciarelli 50% (3 pts) | Ben Tweedy 50% (3 pts) | Anthony Pacciarelli 29% (2 misses) | Ben Tweedy 29% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 6-21 | 28.6 | 18 | Dusan Eric 50% (9 pts) | Ben Tweedy 33% (6 pts) | Ben Pearce 27% (4 misses) | Ben Tweedy 20% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 2-8 | 25.0 | 6 | Asier Miguel 50% (3 pts) | Dusan Eric 50% (3 pts) | Ben Pearce 33% (2 misses) | Anthony Pacciarelli 17% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 5-19 | 26.3 | 15 | Ben Pearce 60% (9 pts) | Dusan Eric 20% (3 pts) | Ben Tweedy 29% (4 misses) | Liam McChesney 21% (3 misses) |