Model Predictions
| Model | Siena Saints | Fairfield Stags | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.6% | 39.4% | -2.4 | ✗ (16.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 95.9% | 4.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.3% | 29.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.4% | 29.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Fairfield Stags +14 (72-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Siena Saints
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Doty | 40 | 9-19 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 14 | - |
| J. Shoats | 40 | 3-12 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| B. Coyle | 29 | 1-7 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| F. Folefac | 28 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| I. Henderson | 27 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| C. Jones | 24 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| R. Mulvey | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Murray | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Torres | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Sparks | 37 | 9-17 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 8 | - |
| D. Wucherpfennig | 34 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 16 | - |
| D. Turner | 26 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 8 | - |
| I. Munkadi | 25 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| E. Mejia | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| H. Rawlins | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T. Williams | 13 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| M. Rogan | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| R. Zan | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| N. Rodriguez | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter