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2026-02-27

Model Predictions

Model Siena Saints Fairfield Stags Spread Result
Elo 58.7% 41.3% -
Bradley-Terry 38.8% 61.2% -
Margin 60.6% 39.4% -2.4 (16.4 off)
Pythagorean 52.9% 47.1% -
Efficiency 95.9% 4.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 70.3% 29.7% -
Log Adjusted 70.4% 29.6% -
Points Off/Def 53.0% 47.0% -

Actual: Fairfield Stags +14 (72-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Siena Saints

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Doty 40 9-19 2-6 6-6 7 1 2 0 3 26 14 -
J. Shoats 40 3-12 0-2 3-5 1 6 1 0 2 9 3 -
B. Coyle 29 1-7 0-6 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
F. Folefac 28 4-6 0-0 1-1 5 0 1 2 1 9 10 -
I. Henderson 27 2-6 1-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 5 -1 -
C. Jones 24 2-9 1-5 0-0 0 3 2 0 1 5 0 -
R. Mulvey 12 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 2 3 -
D. Murray 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Torres 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Fairfield Stags

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Sparks 37 9-17 1-6 0-0 5 2 3 1 5 19 8 -
D. Wucherpfennig 34 4-10 0-0 2-4 17 0 0 1 2 10 16 -
D. Turner 26 6-11 2-5 3-3 2 2 1 0 3 17 8 -
I. Munkadi 25 6-6 0-0 1-5 8 0 0 0 1 13 14 -
E. Mejia 25 2-5 0-0 0-0 4 2 2 0 2 4 5 -
H. Rawlins 15 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 0 2 -
T. Williams 13 2-5 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 1 -
M. Rogan 11 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
R. Zan 10 1-1 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
N. Rodriguez 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter