Model Predictions
| Model | Fairfield Stags | Siena Saints | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.4% | 77.6% | +6.8 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Siena Saints +8 (85-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Benjamin | 37 | 10-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 14 | -0.8 |
| D. Wucherpfennig | 32 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 9 | -8.9 |
| T. Williams | 27 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | -0.6 |
| E. Mejia | 26 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | +5.3 |
| B. Sparks | 22 | 6-13 | 3-8 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 7 | +3.4 |
| H. Rawlins | 20 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | -2.7 |
| D. Turner | 17 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -6.8 |
| R. Zan | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +7.1 |
| N. Rodriguez | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.9 |
| I. Munkadi | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| C. Estevez | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.0 |
Siena Saints
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Shoats | 39 | 8-12 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 13 | +2.5 |
| B. Coyle | 36 | 5-10 | 4-8 | 5-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 15 | +2.6 |
| G. Doty | 33 | 9-9 | 2-2 | 4-6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 26 | +2.5 |
| F. Folefac | 26 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | +5.0 |
| A. Chandler | 26 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | +5.1 |
| R. Mulvey | 26 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 6 | -4.1 |
| C. Jones | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter