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2026-01-19

Model Predictions

Model Fairfield Stags Siena Saints Spread Result
Elo 26.1% 73.9% -
Bradley-Terry 47.0% 53.0% -
Margin 22.4% 77.6% +6.8 (1.2 off)
Pythagorean 41.1% 58.9% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 23.7% 76.3% -
Log Adjusted 23.6% 76.4% -
Points Off/Def 34.0% 66.0% -

Actual: Siena Saints +8 (85-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Fairfield Stags

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Benjamin 37 10-11 0-1 0-0 6 1 1 0 3 20 14 -0.8
D. Wucherpfennig 32 4-7 0-1 4-5 4 3 0 0 3 12 9 -8.9
T. Williams 27 4-8 2-6 0-0 2 4 2 0 1 10 9 -0.6
E. Mejia 26 1-3 1-2 0-0 4 2 1 0 2 3 5 +5.3
B. Sparks 22 6-13 3-8 3-3 1 1 0 0 0 18 7 +3.4
H. Rawlins 20 3-7 1-3 2-2 1 0 2 0 0 9 5 -2.7
D. Turner 17 1-6 1-3 2-3 0 1 2 0 0 5 2 -6.8
R. Zan 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +7.1
N. Rodriguez 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -3.9
I. Munkadi 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -2.0
C. Estevez 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -2.0

Siena Saints

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Shoats 39 8-12 1-2 4-4 4 5 0 1 6 21 13 +2.5
B. Coyle 36 5-10 4-8 5-5 5 2 0 0 1 19 15 +2.6
G. Doty 33 9-9 2-2 4-6 6 3 2 0 0 24 26 +2.5
F. Folefac 26 4-6 0-0 1-2 3 4 0 0 1 9 9 +5.0
A. Chandler 26 2-3 0-0 2-2 3 1 1 1 0 6 9 +5.1
R. Mulvey 26 3-3 0-0 0-0 2 4 0 1 4 6 6 -4.1
C. Jones 14 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter