Model Predictions
| Model | Fairfield Stags | Iona Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.4% | 52.6% | -0.9 | ✗ (0.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.4% | 62.6% | +2.8 | ✗ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Iona Gaels -1 (70-71). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Declan Wucherpfennig * | 38 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 12 | +8.9 |
| Braden Sparks * | 38 | 11-21 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 11 | +10.1 |
| Brandon Benjamin * | 38 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 22 | +5.6 |
| Halon Rawlins * | 25 | 2-8 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | -4.5 |
| Tony Williams * | 25 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -5.7 |
| Eric Mejia | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | +4.4 |
| Deuce Turner | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | +1.1 |
| Cam Estevez | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -6.8 |
| Ryan Zan | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -6.9 |
| Isaac Munkadi | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.5 |
Iona Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Anthony * | 34 | 5-14 | 2-5 | 8-8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 16 | +10.4 |
| Toby Harris * | 31 | 5-12 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 5 | +7.5 |
| Denver Anglin * | 31 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | -3.0 |
| Lamin Sabally * | 24 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -2.9 |
| Kosy Akametu * | 19 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | +9.2 |
| Alliou Fall | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -12.6 |
| Luke Jungers | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -10.9 |
| Chase Cormier | 12 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +2.7 |
| Khalil Badru | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -5.7 |
* = starter