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2026-03-01

Model Predictions

Model Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers Fairfield Stags Spread Result
Elo 41.6% 58.4% -
Bradley-Terry 23.2% 76.8% -
Margin 31.2% 68.8% +4.4 (26.4 off)
Pythagorean 37.9% 62.1% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 36.6% 63.4% -
Log Adjusted 36.5% 63.5% -
Points Off/Def 38.0% 62.0% -

Actual: Fairfield Stags -22 (47-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Keyes 33 6-14 3-10 0-1 3 4 2 0 3 15 7 -
X. Lipscomb 32 1-3 0-1 0-0 6 2 1 0 4 2 4 -
L. McEldon 28 4-6 0-0 0-0 9 3 0 3 1 8 16 -
A. Arrington Jr. 22 3-8 1-2 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 7 2 -
T. Deveaux 20 6-8 2-2 5-5 2 1 1 0 2 19 13 -
J. Amadi 19 4-6 0-0 0-2 4 1 0 0 1 8 6 -
P. Haigh 16 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 3 5 -
Y. Diop 11 1-1 0-0 0-2 5 0 0 1 0 2 7 -
M. So 10 2-4 1-2 0-0 2 3 2 0 3 5 5 -
A. Rozakeas 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
E. Espinosa 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Miller IV 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
N. Rogers 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Fairfield Stags

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Wucherpfennig 36 4-13 1-2 0-2 14 3 1 0 1 9 13 -
B. Sparks 34 3-13 2-6 7-9 2 1 1 0 4 15 2 -
T. Williams 27 3-9 2-5 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 8 0 -
B. Benjamin 23 1-6 0-0 2-2 8 0 2 0 2 4 6 -
H. Rawlins 21 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 2 1 -
D. Turner 17 0-4 0-2 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 1 -4 -
I. Munkadi 17 1-1 0-0 4-4 7 0 2 0 1 6 13 -
N. Rodriguez 8 0-2 0-2 0-2 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
E. Mejia 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -
M. Rogan 5 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 1 0 1 2 2 -
R. Zan 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter