Model Predictions
| Model | Fairfield Stags | Siena Saints | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.4% | 77.6% | +6.8 | ✓ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Siena Saints +15 (76-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Sparks | 37 | 6-17 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 3 | - |
| D. Wucherpfennig | 36 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 20 | - |
| B. Benjamin | 36 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| T. Williams | 29 | 5-13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| E. Mejia | 21 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| D. Turner | 18 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| H. Rawlins | 15 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| I. Munkadi | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| R. Zan | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Siena Saints
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Doty | 40 | 6-11 | 3-4 | 10-11 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 22 | - |
| J. Shoats | 40 | 8-15 | 3-3 | 7-11 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 18 | - |
| F. Folefac | 36 | 4-14 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| R. Mulvey | 30 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 15 | - |
| B. Coyle | 29 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| I. Henderson | 14 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| C. Jones | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter