Model Predictions
| Model | Monmouth Hawks | Fairfield Stags | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.4% | 36.6% | -3.0 | ✗ (11.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.6% | 29.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.0% | 29.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Fairfield Stags +8 (73-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Monmouth Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Rivera-Torres | 37 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 11 | -12.6 |
| J. Ray | 36 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | -12.8 |
| J. Collins | 36 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -11.9 |
| C. Robinson Jr. | 29 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 3 | -7.3 |
| S. Spartalis | 27 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | -10.3 |
| A. Ball | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +1.4 |
| D. Muordar | 10 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| J. Dobuol | 5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -1.9 |
| A. Martinez | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.1 |
| O. Harvey | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -8.9 |
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Sparks | 40 | 6-19 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 7 | +12.9 |
| D. Wucherpfennig | 36 | 7-11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 13 | +16.3 |
| B. Benjamin | 31 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 19 | +11.8 |
| H. Rawlins | 28 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | +16.2 |
| E. Mejia | 22 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 3 | +9.3 |
| T. Williams | 17 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | -0.6 |
| D. Turner | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.7 |
| I. Munkadi | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +0.7 |
| R. Zan | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.1 |
* = starter