Model Predictions
| Model | Manhattan Jaspers | Fairfield Stags | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.5% | 84.5% | +9.3 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 10.5% | 89.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.0% | 83.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.8% | 83.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fairfield Stags +11 (71-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Manhattan Jaspers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Winston | 38 | 4-12 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 5 | - |
| F. Roxburgh | 34 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| T. Jones | 34 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 8 | - |
| D. Dinkins | 31 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | - |
| A. Isaac | 29 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| E. Oliver-Bush | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Ljubicic | 11 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Q. Elliott | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Miguel | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Sparks | 38 | 5-14 | 3-8 | 4-5 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| D. Wucherpfennig | 36 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | - |
| B. Benjamin | 33 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 18 | - |
| T. Williams | 27 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| D. Turner | 25 | 3-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| E. Mejia | 21 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| H. Rawlins | 9 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| I. Munkadi | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| R. Zan | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter