Denver Nuggets
2003 Team Stats (62 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 680 (#29) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 774 (#28) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 868 (#29) | HCA +84 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -7.4 (#28) | HCA +3.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -7.8 (#28) | HCA +3.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.254 (#28) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More โ | 0.284 (#28) | NetEff -7.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.275 (#28) | AdjNet -8.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.274 (#28) | AdjNet -8.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.340 (#28) | AdjO 82.2 | AdjD 89.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.350 (#28) | AdjO 86.7 | AdjD 93.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.259 (#29) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.261 (#29) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 795 (#29) | RD 248 | GP 82 |
2003 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002-10-30 | @ | Minnesota Timberwolves | L | 77 - 83 |
| 2002-11-01 | vs | Houston Rockets | L | 74 - 83 |
| 2002-11-02 | @ | Portland Trail Blazers | W | 96 - 79 |
| 2002-11-05 | vs | Atlanta Hawks | L | 87 - 103 |
| 2002-11-07 | vs | Detroit Pistons | L | 63 - 89 |
| 2002-11-09 | vs | Memphis Grizzlies | W | 84 - 73 |
| 2002-11-13 | vs | Phoenix Suns | L | 72 - 75 |
| 2002-11-15 | @ | Toronto Raptors | L | 79 - 84 |
| 2002-11-16 | @ | Detroit Pistons | L | 53 - 74 |
| 2002-11-18 | @ | Brooklyn Nets | L | 79 - 99 |
| 2002-11-20 | vs | Utah Jazz | L | 79 - 96 |
| 2002-11-22 | vs | LA Clippers | W | 72 - 70 |
| 2002-11-23 | @ | Phoenix Suns | W | 80 - 79 |
| 2002-11-26 | vs | San Antonio Spurs | W | 85 - 81 |
| 2002-11-27 | @ | San Antonio Spurs | L | 68 - 99 |
| 2002-11-29 | vs | Golden State Warriors | L | 82 - 92 |
| 2002-12-03 | @ | Golden State Warriors | L | 89 - 110 |
| 2002-12-04 | vs | Sacramento Kings | L | 90 - 92 |
| 2002-12-06 | @ | Sacramento Kings | L | 77 - 98 |
| 2002-12-07 | vs | Indiana Pacers | W | 92 - 81 |
| 2002-12-09 | vs | Minnesota Timberwolves | L | 84 - 92 |
| 2002-12-11 | @ | Memphis Grizzlies | L | 93 - 96 |
| 2002-12-13 | @ | Indiana Pacers | L | 72 - 94 |
| 2002-12-14 | @ | Cleveland Cavaliers | L | 104 - 111 |
| 2002-12-16 | @ | Philadelphia 76ers | L | 71 - 93 |
| 2002-12-18 | vs | Dallas Mavericks | L | 75 - 80 |
| 2002-12-20 | vs | Orlando Magic | L | 80 - 89 |
| 2002-12-21 | @ | LA Clippers | L | 89 - 92 |
| 2002-12-28 | vs | Los Angeles Lakers | L | 93 - 112 |
| 2002-12-30 | vs | Oklahoma City Thunder | L | 77 - 79 |
| 2003-01-03 | @ | Oklahoma City Thunder | W | 94 - 82 |
| 2003-01-04 | vs | Sacramento Kings | L | 76 - 87 |
| 2003-01-06 | @ | Dallas Mavericks | L | 71 - 86 |
| 2003-01-08 | vs | Miami Heat | W | 86 - 76 |
| 2003-01-10 | vs | Portland Trail Blazers | W | 82 - 81 |
| 2003-01-11 | @ | Houston Rockets | L | 85 - 87 |
| 2003-01-13 | @ | Minnesota Timberwolves | L | 75 - 89 |
| 2003-01-15 | vs | Utah Jazz | L | 81 - 92 |
| 2003-01-17 | vs | Cleveland Cavaliers | W | 97 - 80 |
| 2003-01-20 | @ | Washington Wizards | L | 74 - 89 |
| 2003-01-22 | @ | New York Knicks | L | 88 - 97 |
| 2003-01-24 | @ | Boston Celtics | L | 58 - 77 |
| 2003-01-25 | @ | Milwaukee Bucks | L | 75 - 88 |
| 2003-01-27 | vs | Brooklyn Nets | L | 66 - 92 |
| 2003-01-28 | @ | Portland Trail Blazers | L | 92 - 98 |
| 2003-02-01 | @ | Dallas Mavericks | L | 100 - 122 |
| 2003-02-02 | vs | Memphis Grizzlies | W | 93 - 78 |
| 2003-02-04 | vs | Chicago Bulls | W | 102 - 100 |
| 2003-02-06 | vs | San Antonio Spurs | L | 74 - 83 |
| 2003-02-11 | @ | Los Angeles Lakers | L | 93 - 121 |
| 2003-02-12 | vs | Los Angeles Lakers | L | 102 - 113 |
| 2003-02-15 | @ | Chicago Bulls | L | 69 - 88 |
| 2003-02-16 | @ | New Orleans Pelicans | L | 92 - 100 |
| 2003-02-18 | @ | San Antonio Spurs | L | 76 - 101 |
| 2003-02-19 | vs | Minnesota Timberwolves | L | 77 - 85 |
| 2003-02-22 | @ | Utah Jazz | L | 89 - 99 |
| 2003-02-24 | vs | Golden State Warriors | L | 89 - 94 |
| 2003-02-26 | vs | Portland Trail Blazers | L | 84 - 94 |
| 2003-02-28 | vs | New Orleans Pelicans | L | 88 - 94 |
| 2003-03-02 | vs | Philadelphia 76ers | L | 94 - 100 |
| 2003-03-04 | @ | Atlanta Hawks | L | 86 - 92 |
| 2003-03-05 | @ | Memphis Grizzlies | L | 86 - 96 |
| 2003-03-08 | @ | Miami Heat | - | Incomplete score |
| 2003-03-09 | @ | Orlando Magic | - | Incomplete score |
| 2003-03-11 | vs | Toronto Raptors | - | Incomplete score |
| 2003-03-16 | vs | Oklahoma City Thunder | - | Incomplete score |
| 2003-03-18 | @ | Utah Jazz | - | Incomplete score |
| 2003-03-19 | @ | LA Clippers | - | Incomplete score |
| 2003-03-21 | @ | Oklahoma City Thunder | - | Incomplete score |
| 2003-03-22 | vs | Boston Celtics | - | Incomplete score |
| 2003-03-24 | vs | Dallas Mavericks | - | Incomplete score |
| 2003-03-26 | vs | Milwaukee Bucks | - | Incomplete score |
| 2003-03-29 | @ | Houston Rockets | - | Incomplete score |
| 2003-03-30 | vs | Washington Wizards | - | Incomplete score |
| 2003-04-01 | @ | Phoenix Suns | - | Incomplete score |
| 2003-04-02 | vs | New York Knicks | - | Incomplete score |
| 2003-04-06 | @ | Golden State Warriors | - | Incomplete score |
| 2003-04-08 | vs | Phoenix Suns | - | Incomplete score |
| 2003-04-11 | @ | Sacramento Kings | - | Incomplete score |
| 2003-04-12 | vs | LA Clippers | - | Incomplete score |
| 2003-04-15 | @ | Los Angeles Lakers | - | Incomplete score |
| 2003-04-16 | vs | Houston Rockets | - | Incomplete score |
2003 Roster
Counting stats use played regular-season games. PM and RAPM use their separate model samples; PM GP shows that sample's game count.
Minutes by Position
Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juwan Howard | F | 58 | 36.5 | 18.4 | 7.8 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 2.5 | 16.3 | 12.1 | -714 | 76 | -9.4 | -29.6 | 44.5 | 50.0 | 82.2 | 0.33 | 50.1 | 44.6 |
| James Posey | G | 25 | 34.9 | 14.1 | 5.8 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 2.6 | 13.0 | 8.8 | - | - | - | - | 37.3 | 27.3 | 84.3 | - | 47.7 | 41.0 |
Nene Hilario
|
F | 61 | 27.7 | 10.0 | 6.1 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 2.3 | 7.5 | 10.4 | -667 | 79 | -8.4 | -87.2 | 50.4 | 0.0 | 57.2 | 0.1 | 53.3 | 50.4 |
| Chris Whitney | G | 29 | 26.3 | 9.6 | 1.6 | 4.3 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 9.0 | 5.1 | -362 | 55 | -6.6 | -31.6 | 36.0 | 33.6 | 80.7 | 0.12 | 48.4 | 44.3 |
| Rodney White | G | 53 | 20.0 | 8.3 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 2.2 | 8.2 | 2.6 | -557 | 71 | -7.8 | -39.1 | 40.6 | 24.5 | 76.5 | -1.85 | 46.6 | 43.3 |
| Donnell Harvey | F | 59 | 21.4 | 8.0 | 5.4 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 7.4 | 6.7 | -610 | 76 | -8.0 | -40.9 | 43.8 | 20.0 | 64.0 | 0.4 | 47.4 | 43.9 |
| Shammond Williams | - | 7 | 24.6 | 7.3 | 2.1 | 4.1 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 2.9 | 9.0 | 2.7 | -217 | 78 | -2.8 | -25.2 | 28.6 | 35.7 | 62.5 | -0.3 | 38.3 | 36.5 |
| Vincent Yarbrough | G | 46 | 24.3 | 7.3 | 2.6 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 7.5 | 4.6 | -512 | 58 | -8.8 | -39.4 | 39.9 | 28.4 | 79.6 | -0.44 | 45.4 | 42.6 |
Chris Andersen
|
F | 39 | 16.3 | 5.8 | 5.2 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5.3 | 6.8 | -432 | 59 | -7.3 | -48.3 | 42.4 | 0 | 60.7 | -0.85 | 46.7 | 42.4 |
| Kenny Satterfield | G | 22 | 19.1 | 5.6 | 1.6 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 7.5 | 1.4 | -173 | 34 | -5.1 | -48.0 | 30.9 | 17.9 | 69.6 | -0.58 | 35.1 | 32.4 |
| Mark Blount | C | 54 | 16.5 | 5.2 | 3.4 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4.9 | 4.4 | -439 | 80 | -5.5 | -24.4 | 39.3 | 0 | 71.7 | -0.4 | 45.2 | 39.3 |
| Junior Harrington | G | 62 | 25.2 | 5.2 | 3.2 | 3.7 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 2.1 | 6.0 | 5.1 | -642 | 81 | -7.9 | -41.9 | 36.3 | 27.3 | 58.4 | 0.35 | 39.5 | 37.1 |
| Marcus Camby | F | 11 | 16.2 | 4.7 | 5.5 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 5.9 | 6.3 | -269 | 29 | -9.3 | -35.5 | 35.4 | 100.0 | 57.1 | -0.02 | 38.2 | 36.9 |
| Ryan Bowen | F | 56 | 16.8 | 3.7 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 3.4 | 4.7 | -288 | 62 | -4.6 | -30.8 | 47.1 | 28.6 | 65.0 | -0.2 | 49.9 | 47.6 |
| Nikoloz Tskitishvili | F | 61 | 14.5 | 3.5 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 4.2 | 2.0 | -560 | 80 | -7.0 | -46.6 | 28.9 | 23.4 | 73.2 | -1.16 | 38.1 | 33.8 |
| John Crotty | - | 12 | 15.0 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 2.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 3.4 | 3.2 | -69 | 11 | -6.3 | -25.6 | 34.1 | 30.8 | 60.0 | -0.66 | 43.1 | 39.0 |
| Predrag Savovic | - | 14 | 10.1 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 4.0 | 0.9 | -150 | 26 | -5.8 | -71.1 | 28.6 | 11.1 | 80.0 | -0.91 | 34.8 | 30.4 |
| Mark Bryant | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 16 | 14 | 1.1 | 11.7 | - | - | - | -0.93 | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG