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Denver Nuggets

Also known as: Denver Nuggets
Program History

2003 Team Stats (62 games)

82.4
PPG
91.0
Opp
-8.5
Margin
40.6%
FG%
27.3%
3P%
70.3%
FT%
41.9
RPG
20.5
APG
17.9
TO
93.3
Est. poss./game
82.2
Adj PPG
89.6
Adj Opp PPG
#28
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2002-2003
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 680 (#29) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 774 (#28) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +84 elo More โ†’ 868 (#29) HCA +84 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.9 More โ†’ -7.4 (#28) HCA +3.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.6 More โ†’ -7.8 (#28) HCA +3.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.254 (#28) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -7.9 More โ†’ 0.284 (#28) NetEff -7.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -8.4 More โ†’ 0.275 (#28) AdjNet -8.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -8.5 More โ†’ 0.274 (#28) AdjNet -8.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 82.2 | AdjD 89.6 More โ†’ 0.340 (#28) AdjO 82.2 | AdjD 89.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 86.7 | AdjD 93.5 More โ†’ 0.350 (#28) AdjO 86.7 | AdjD 93.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.259 (#29) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.261 (#29) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 248 | GP 82 More โ†’ 795 (#29) RD 248 | GP 82

2003 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2002-10-30 @ Minnesota Timberwolves L 77 - 83
2002-11-01 vs Houston Rockets L 74 - 83
2002-11-02 @ Portland Trail Blazers W 96 - 79
2002-11-05 vs Atlanta Hawks L 87 - 103
2002-11-07 vs Detroit Pistons L 63 - 89
2002-11-09 vs Memphis Grizzlies W 84 - 73
2002-11-13 vs Phoenix Suns L 72 - 75
2002-11-15 @ Toronto Raptors L 79 - 84
2002-11-16 @ Detroit Pistons L 53 - 74
2002-11-18 @ Brooklyn Nets L 79 - 99
2002-11-20 vs Utah Jazz L 79 - 96
2002-11-22 vs LA Clippers W 72 - 70
2002-11-23 @ Phoenix Suns W 80 - 79
2002-11-26 vs San Antonio Spurs W 85 - 81
2002-11-27 @ San Antonio Spurs L 68 - 99
2002-11-29 vs Golden State Warriors L 82 - 92
2002-12-03 @ Golden State Warriors L 89 - 110
2002-12-04 vs Sacramento Kings L 90 - 92
2002-12-06 @ Sacramento Kings L 77 - 98
2002-12-07 vs Indiana Pacers W 92 - 81
2002-12-09 vs Minnesota Timberwolves L 84 - 92
2002-12-11 @ Memphis Grizzlies L 93 - 96
2002-12-13 @ Indiana Pacers L 72 - 94
2002-12-14 @ Cleveland Cavaliers L 104 - 111
2002-12-16 @ Philadelphia 76ers L 71 - 93
2002-12-18 vs Dallas Mavericks L 75 - 80
2002-12-20 vs Orlando Magic L 80 - 89
2002-12-21 @ LA Clippers L 89 - 92
2002-12-28 vs Los Angeles Lakers L 93 - 112
2002-12-30 vs Oklahoma City Thunder L 77 - 79
2003-01-03 @ Oklahoma City Thunder W 94 - 82
2003-01-04 vs Sacramento Kings L 76 - 87
2003-01-06 @ Dallas Mavericks L 71 - 86
2003-01-08 vs Miami Heat W 86 - 76
2003-01-10 vs Portland Trail Blazers W 82 - 81
2003-01-11 @ Houston Rockets L 85 - 87
2003-01-13 @ Minnesota Timberwolves L 75 - 89
2003-01-15 vs Utah Jazz L 81 - 92
2003-01-17 vs Cleveland Cavaliers W 97 - 80
2003-01-20 @ Washington Wizards L 74 - 89
2003-01-22 @ New York Knicks L 88 - 97
2003-01-24 @ Boston Celtics L 58 - 77
2003-01-25 @ Milwaukee Bucks L 75 - 88
2003-01-27 vs Brooklyn Nets L 66 - 92
2003-01-28 @ Portland Trail Blazers L 92 - 98
2003-02-01 @ Dallas Mavericks L 100 - 122
2003-02-02 vs Memphis Grizzlies W 93 - 78
2003-02-04 vs Chicago Bulls W 102 - 100
2003-02-06 vs San Antonio Spurs L 74 - 83
2003-02-11 @ Los Angeles Lakers L 93 - 121
2003-02-12 vs Los Angeles Lakers L 102 - 113
2003-02-15 @ Chicago Bulls L 69 - 88
2003-02-16 @ New Orleans Pelicans L 92 - 100
2003-02-18 @ San Antonio Spurs L 76 - 101
2003-02-19 vs Minnesota Timberwolves L 77 - 85
2003-02-22 @ Utah Jazz L 89 - 99
2003-02-24 vs Golden State Warriors L 89 - 94
2003-02-26 vs Portland Trail Blazers L 84 - 94
2003-02-28 vs New Orleans Pelicans L 88 - 94
2003-03-02 vs Philadelphia 76ers L 94 - 100
2003-03-04 @ Atlanta Hawks L 86 - 92
2003-03-05 @ Memphis Grizzlies L 86 - 96
2003-03-08 @ Miami Heat - Incomplete score
2003-03-09 @ Orlando Magic - Incomplete score
2003-03-11 vs Toronto Raptors - Incomplete score
2003-03-16 vs Oklahoma City Thunder - Incomplete score
2003-03-18 @ Utah Jazz - Incomplete score
2003-03-19 @ LA Clippers - Incomplete score
2003-03-21 @ Oklahoma City Thunder - Incomplete score
2003-03-22 vs Boston Celtics - Incomplete score
2003-03-24 vs Dallas Mavericks - Incomplete score
2003-03-26 vs Milwaukee Bucks - Incomplete score
2003-03-29 @ Houston Rockets - Incomplete score
2003-03-30 vs Washington Wizards - Incomplete score
2003-04-01 @ Phoenix Suns - Incomplete score
2003-04-02 vs New York Knicks - Incomplete score
2003-04-06 @ Golden State Warriors - Incomplete score
2003-04-08 vs Phoenix Suns - Incomplete score
2003-04-11 @ Sacramento Kings - Incomplete score
2003-04-12 vs LA Clippers - Incomplete score
2003-04-15 @ Los Angeles Lakers - Incomplete score
2003-04-16 vs Houston Rockets - Incomplete score

2003 Roster

Counting stats use played regular-season games. PM and RAPM use their separate model samples; PM GP shows that sample's game count.

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Juwan Howard F 58 36.5 18.4 7.8 3.1 1.2 0.4 2.5 16.3 12.1 -714 76 -9.4 -29.6 44.5 50.0 82.2 0.33 50.1 44.6
James Posey G 25 34.9 14.1 5.8 3.1 1.2 0.2 2.6 13.0 8.8 - - - - 37.3 27.3 84.3 - 47.7 41.0
Nene Hilario Nene Hilario F 61 27.7 10.0 6.1 1.9 1.6 0.7 2.3 7.5 10.4 -667 79 -8.4 -87.2 50.4 0.0 57.2 0.1 53.3 50.4
Chris Whitney G 29 26.3 9.6 1.6 4.3 0.6 0.0 1.9 9.0 5.1 -362 55 -6.6 -31.6 36.0 33.6 80.7 0.12 48.4 44.3
Rodney White G 53 20.0 8.3 2.7 1.3 0.5 0.3 2.2 8.2 2.6 -557 71 -7.8 -39.1 40.6 24.5 76.5 -1.85 46.6 43.3
Donnell Harvey F 59 21.4 8.0 5.4 1.4 0.6 0.4 1.6 7.4 6.7 -610 76 -8.0 -40.9 43.8 20.0 64.0 0.4 47.4 43.9
Shammond Williams - 7 24.6 7.3 2.1 4.1 0.9 0.1 2.9 9.0 2.7 -217 78 -2.8 -25.2 28.6 35.7 62.5 -0.3 38.3 36.5
Vincent Yarbrough G 46 24.3 7.3 2.6 2.2 1.0 0.6 1.5 7.5 4.6 -512 58 -8.8 -39.4 39.9 28.4 79.6 -0.44 45.4 42.6
Chris Andersen Chris Andersen F 39 16.3 5.8 5.2 0.6 0.5 1.1 1.2 5.3 6.8 -432 59 -7.3 -48.3 42.4 0 60.7 -0.85 46.7 42.4
Kenny Satterfield G 22 19.1 5.6 1.6 2.4 0.8 0.1 1.6 7.5 1.4 -173 34 -5.1 -48.0 30.9 17.9 69.6 -0.58 35.1 32.4
Mark Blount C 54 16.5 5.2 3.4 0.6 0.4 0.9 1.3 4.9 4.4 -439 80 -5.5 -24.4 39.3 0 71.7 -0.4 45.2 39.3
Junior Harrington G 62 25.2 5.2 3.2 3.7 0.9 0.2 2.1 6.0 5.1 -642 81 -7.9 -41.9 36.3 27.3 58.4 0.35 39.5 37.1
Marcus Camby F 11 16.2 4.7 5.5 0.8 0.5 1.3 0.5 5.9 6.3 -269 29 -9.3 -35.5 35.4 100.0 57.1 -0.02 38.2 36.9
Ryan Bowen F 56 16.8 3.7 2.7 0.9 1.1 0.5 0.8 3.4 4.7 -288 62 -4.6 -30.8 47.1 28.6 65.0 -0.2 49.9 47.6
Nikoloz Tskitishvili F 61 14.5 3.5 2.1 0.9 0.4 0.3 0.9 4.2 2.0 -560 80 -7.0 -46.6 28.9 23.4 73.2 -1.16 38.1 33.8
John Crotty - 12 15.0 3.4 1.2 2.4 0.2 0.0 0.8 3.4 3.2 -69 11 -6.3 -25.6 34.1 30.8 60.0 -0.66 43.1 39.0
Predrag Savovic - 14 10.1 3.0 1.1 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.7 4.0 0.9 -150 26 -5.8 -71.1 28.6 11.1 80.0 -0.91 34.8 30.4
Mark Bryant - - - - - - - - - - - 16 14 1.1 11.7 - - - -0.93 - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG