Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.7% | 85.3% | +8.3 | ✓ (6.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.2% | 78.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.5% | 85.5% | +9.8 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Wizards +15 (89-74). Ratings: 2002-03 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juwan Howard * | 42 | 11-18 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 18 | - |
| Junior Harrington * | 31 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 30 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Vincent Yarbrough * | 30 | 4-14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -2 | - |
| Ryan Bowen * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Rodney White | 26 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Donnell Harvey | 21 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | - |
| John Crotty | 16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Chris Andersen | 16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Mark Blount | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Nikoloz Tskitishvili | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Jordan * | 41 | 11-22 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 13 | - |
| Larry Hughes * | 37 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Bryon Russell * | 25 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Christian Laettner * | 25 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Etan Thomas | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Tyronn Lue | 22 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Kwame Brown | 19 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Juan Dixon | 17 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Bobby Simmons | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter