Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.2% | 24.8% | -3.6 | ✓ (12.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.4% | 51.6% | +0.3 | ✗ (16.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -16 (87-103). Ratings: 2002-03 season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shareef Abdur-Rahim * | 39 | 7-12 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 23 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 37 | 5-13 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Glenn Robinson * | 34 | 9-18 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 13 | - |
| Ira Newble * | 29 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Theo Ratliff * | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Alan Henderson | 22 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Dion Glover | 19 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Amal McCaskill | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Emanual Davis | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Darvin Ham | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Dan Dickau | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Antonio Harvey | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juwan Howard * | 39 | 11-19 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 22 | - |
| James Posey * | 39 | 5-17 | 1-5 | 10-10 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 10 | - |
| Chris Whitney * | 25 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Mark Blount * | 20 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Junior Harrington * | 6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Ryan Bowen | 27 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Kenny Satterfield | 20 | 0-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Nene Hilario | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Rodney White | 18 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Chris Andersen | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Nikoloz Tskitishvili | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Donnell Harvey | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter