Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.3% | 86.7% | +8.7 | ✓ (5.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.1% | 82.9% | +8.7 | ✓ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +3 (96-93). Ratings: 2002-03 season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juwan Howard * | 37 | 10-22 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 8 | - |
| James Posey * | 33 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Chris Whitney * | 32 | 3-11 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Ryan Bowen * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Mark Blount * | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Donnell Harvey | 27 | 11-15 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Nene Hilario | 26 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Nikoloz Tskitishvili | 20 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Rodney White | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Junior Harrington | 11 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Vincent Yarbrough | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kenny Satterfield | 3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pau Gasol * | 40 | 7-17 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Drew Gooden * | 38 | 5-11 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Lorenzen Wright * | 34 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Wesley Person * | 33 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 31 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Stromile Swift | 20 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Earl Watson | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Gordan Giricek | 14 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Mike Batiste | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter