Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 0.9% | 99.1% | +20.4 | ✓ (10.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.9% | 94.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.8% | 96.2% | +17.8 | ✓ (13.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 6.1% | 93.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.1% | 93.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.0% | 94.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.9% | 82.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +31 (99-68). Ratings: 2002-03 season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juwan Howard * | 27 | 0-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Kenny Satterfield * | 22 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -5 | - |
| James Posey * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -3 | - |
| Mark Blount * | 16 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Ryan Bowen * | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Nene Hilario | 31 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Junior Harrington | 25 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Chris Andersen | 20 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Nikoloz Tskitishvili | 18 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Rodney White | 16 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -2 | - |
| Predrag Savovic | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Donnell Harvey | 15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 32 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 30 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 29 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 25 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| David Robinson * | 24 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Steven Smith * | 24 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Stephen Jackson | 22 | 8-15 | 3-8 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 8 | - |
| Manu Ginobili | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Malik Rose | 17 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kevin Willis | 17 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Anthony Goldwire | 12 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Danny Ferry | 7 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Steve Kerr | 6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
* = starter