Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.1% | 33.9% | -1.8 | ✓ (8.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.8% | 28.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.0% | 37.0% | -2.9 | ✓ (7.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.6% | 26.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.6% | 26.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -10 (82-92). Ratings: 2002-03 season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antawn Jamison * | 44 | 3-14 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Gilbert Arenas * | 40 | 8-16 | 2-4 | 9-9 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 19 | - |
| Troy Murphy * | 30 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Jason Richardson * | 26 | 0-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Earl Boykins | 23 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 18 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy | 14 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Danny Fortson | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Oscar Torres | 11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Adonal Foyle | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juwan Howard * | 41 | 7-15 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 21 | - |
| James Posey * | 35 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Chris Whitney * | 28 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Mark Blount * | 26 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Donnell Harvey * | 19 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 1 | - |
| Ryan Bowen | 20 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Nene Hilario | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Junior Harrington | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Rodney White | 15 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Nikoloz Tskitishvili | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chris Andersen | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Kenny Satterfield | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter