Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Jazz | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.8% | 13.2% | -6.8 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.8% | 20.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 74.8% | 25.2% | -6.0 | ✓ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.5% | 18.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.5% | 18.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.9% | 35.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -11 (81-92). Ratings: 2002-03 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Malone * | 41 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Matt Harpring * | 39 | 6-14 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Greg Ostertag * | 33 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 17 | - |
| John Stockton * | 31 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Calbert Cheaney * | 21 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Andrei Kirilenko | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Mark Jackson | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Scott Padgett | 13 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Tony Massenburg | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nene Hilario * | 38 | 9-15 | 0-1 | 6-10 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 23 | - |
| Juwan Howard * | 37 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Junior Harrington * | 31 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Ryan Bowen * | 27 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Vincent Yarbrough * | 23 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Rodney White | 27 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 5 | - |
| John Crotty | 16 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Nikoloz Tskitishvili | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Donnell Harvey | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Mark Blount | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
* = starter