Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.1% | 18.9% | -5.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.8% | 23.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 73.0% | 27.0% | -5.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 80.4% | 19.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.6% | 20.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.7% | 20.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -9 (74-83). Ratings: 2002-03 season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuttino Mobley * | 47 | 8-16 | 1-3 | 12-13 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 29 | 17 | - |
| Steve Francis * | 37 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 8-9 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 23 | - |
| Eddie Griffin * | 34 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Kelvin Cato * | 28 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 17 | - |
| Bostjan Nachbar * | 11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Juaquin Hawkins | 26 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Jason Collier | 20 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Moochie Norris | 20 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Ming Yao | 12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Posey * | 41 | 6-17 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Chris Whitney * | 29 | 3-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Mark Blount * | 26 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Ryan Bowen * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Junior Harrington * | 18 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Kenny Satterfield | 32 | 6-16 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Chris Andersen | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Nene Hilario | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Nikoloz Tskitishvili | 18 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Donnell Harvey | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter