Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.9% | 72.1% | +4.9 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.0% | 72.0% | +5.2 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +5 (84-79). Ratings: 2002-03 season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Posey * | 43 | 9-22 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 14 | - |
| Juwan Howard * | 32 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Mark Blount * | 25 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Donnell Harvey * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Junior Harrington * | 16 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Kenny Satterfield | 31 | 4-12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Ryan Bowen | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Nene Hilario | 22 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Chris Andersen | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Rodney White | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Nikoloz Tskitishvili | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morris Peterson * | 44 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 41 | 6-15 | 3-4 | 4-6 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Jerome Williams * | 37 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Alvin Williams * | 36 | 5-16 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Antonio Davis * | 36 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 8-12 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Lindsey Hunter | 18 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Greg Foster | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Michael Bradley | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Chris Jefferies | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter