Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 92.9% | 7.1% | -9.7 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 89.0% | 11.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 86.8% | 13.2% | -10.3 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 69.4% | 30.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.4% | 11.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.4% | 11.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 73.2% | 26.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -11 (76-87). Ratings: 2002-03 season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vlade Divac * | 38 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Doug Christie * | 35 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Keon Clark * | 35 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 33 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 14 | - |
| Peja Stojakovic * | 32 | 5-14 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu | 18 | 3-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Jim Jackson | 17 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Damon Jones | 16 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Gerald Wallace | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Lawrence Funderburke | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juwan Howard * | 39 | 7-22 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 19 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 31 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Junior Harrington * | 30 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Donnell Harvey * | 24 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | - |
| Vincent Yarbrough * | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Rodney White | 39 | 8-14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Nikoloz Tskitishvili | 21 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Ryan Bowen | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| John Crotty | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Mark Blount | 8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Predrag Savovic | 6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter